Friday’s News & Notes
Team | Yesterday | Today | Pitching Probables |
Rochester | Lost, 9-6 | @ Worcester, 6:05pm | Sampson (1-1, 5.84) vs. Uberstine (0-1, 3.52) |
Harrisburg | Lost, 4-1 | vs. Reading, 7pm | Luckham (4-2, 2.56) vs. Cabrera (1-3, 4.01) |
Wilmington | Lost, 1-0 | vs. Brooklyn, 6:35pm | Sykora (0-0, 0.00) vs. Manaea (MLB rehab) |
Fredericksburg | Won, 5-4 | vs. Delmarva, 7:05pm | Da. Garcia (2-2, 3.77) vs. Menard (0-2, 18.00) |
FCL Nationals | Lost, 7-6 | @ FCL Cardinals, 12pm | |
DSL Nationals | Lost, 7-3 (6½ inn.) |
DSL Angels, 11am |
Worcester 9 Rochester 6
• Alvarez (L, 0-6) 5IP, 7H, 5R, 5ER, 2BB, 4K, HR
• C. Romero 1IP, 0H, 0R, 0BB, 3K
• House 3-5, R, HR, 2RBI
• Millas 3-4, 2R, 2B, HR, RBI
• Morales 2-4, R, 2B, HR, RBI
The Red Wings outhomered the (ugh) Woo Sox 4-1 but Worcester sauced ’em, 9-6 to hand Rochester its third straight loss. Andrew Alvarez remains winless, losing his sixth contest with five runs allowed on seven hits (one HR) and two walks. He struck out four. After two goose eggs from Carlos Romero and Joan Adon, Worcester went to town on Todd Peterson for four runs in the 8th to put the game on ice. Brady House singled twice and homered while Drew Millas singled, doubled, and homered to lead the Rochester offense.
Reading 4 Harrisburg 1
• Stuart (L, 0-1) 3⅔ IP, 4H, 4R, 4ER, 4BB, 5K, 2HR
• Schultz 2⅓ IP, 1H, 0R, 0BB, 1K, 2-0 IR-S
• J. Young 2-4, 2B, SB
• Glasser 1-3, R, BB
No grand slam in the 9th from Carlos De La Cruz as Reading handed Harrisburg a 4-1 loss. Tyler Stuart was knocked from the box in the 4th as the Fightins floored him for four runs on a pair of two-run homers and four hits total. He walked four and struck out five. Jacob Young singled, doubled, and stole baser while Phillip Glasser singled, walked, and scored ahead of the one (1) hit in 10 RISP chances as the Senators racked up seven hits and left on seven.
Brooklyn 1 Wilmington 0
• Tolman 4IP, 1H, 0R, 2BB, 4K
• Cáceres (L, 1-2) 3IP, 3H, 1R, 1ER, 0BB, 2K
• Nunez 1-3, BB, 2B
• White 1-4, 2B(5)
The Blue Rocks doubled three times with the bases empty as the Cyclones slipped past for 1-0 win. Starter Erik Tolman blanked Brooklyn for four innings on one hit and two walks and gave way to Bryan Cáceres, who gave up the lone run on three hits ovder three innings to take the loss. Elijah Nunez led off the game with a two-bagger, Armando did the same in the 3rd, and T.J. White gave Wilmington one last chance with two out in the 9th. Brandon Pimental got hit by a pitch to put the winning run on 1st but Cruz popped out to end the game and cement an 0-for-8 RISP mark with eight LOB. Roster moves: OF Sam Petersen reassigned from Fredericksburg; OF Brenner Cox placed on 7-Day I.L.
Fredericksburg 5 Delmarva 4
• Roman 5IP, 8H, 4R, 2ER, 1BB, 2K, HBP, E
• Beeker (W, 1-2) 3IP, 0H, 0R, 0BB, 3K
• Cranz (SV, 4) 1IP, 0H, 0R, 0BB, 2K
• Mota 2-4, R, 3B, RBI
• Peoples 2-4, 2K
• Y. Rivero 2-3, R, BB, 2RBI
The FredNats took a 2-0 lead early, lost it with a four-run 5th, but reclaimed it in the 6th and held on for a 5-4 win. Angel Roman gave up those aforementioned four runs (two earned) on eight hits and one walk over five innings. He struck out two. Merritt Beeker retired nine of ten batters in the late innings to pick up the win while Robert Cranz retired the side in order in the 9th to earn the save, his fourth. Yoander Rivero singled twice, walked once, scored once, and drove in two to lead Fredericksburg’s 11-hit parade. Roster moves: OF Teo Banks activated from the 7-Day I.L.
FCL Cardinals 7 FCL Nationals 6
• Lunar (L, 0-1) 1⅔ IP, 6H, 6R, 6ER, 0BB, 2K, WP, PO @ 1B
• Montero 1⅓ IP, 2H, 0R, 0BB, 1K, 2-2 IR-S
• Portorreal 3IP, 1H, 1R, 1ER, 2BB, 0K, HBP
• A. Feliz 2-4, 2R, BB
• D. Tejeda 2-4, BB, RBI
• Jones 2-5, R, HR(GS), 4RBI
The FCL Nationals jumped out to a 5-0 lead over the FCL Cardinals on a Jamison Jones grand slam and a Dashyll Tejeda RBI single. Alas, the F-Cards answered with a six-run 2nd held on to beat the F-Nats, 7-6. FCL Nats starter Darrel Lunar was knocked from the box with two out in the 2nd and gave up six runs on six hits and no walks. He struck out two while siffering his first loss. The F-Nats got 18 men on base with nine hits and nine walks, but were 2-for-10 with RISP and left on 12.
DSL Arizona Red 7 DSL Nationals 3 (6½ inn.)
• J. Robles (L, 0-1) 4IP, 2H, 5R, 3ER, 1BB, 7K
• A. Pena 1IP, 1H, 0R, 0BB, 0K
• D. Hernandez 2-3, R, RBI, SB, E
• Liriano 1-3, RBI
It was a similar story in the D.R. as D-Nats took an early 2-0 lead after the 1st and then gave it back with a five-run 2nd and never recovered, losing 7-3 in a game shortened to 6½ innings. Jean Robles gave up those five runs (three earned) on two hits and a walk over four innings. He struck out seven while taking the loss. Daniel Hernandez singled twice, scored once, drove in one, and stole a base but also committed one of four errors by the DSL Nationals.
An interesting exercise in comparing hype to performance:
2023-Present (across multiple levels):
Player A: .304/.381/.450, 139 wRC+, 10.0 BB%, 22.6 K% (678 PA, ages 21-23)
Player B: .275/.351/.455, 122 wRC+, 8.2 BB%, 21.4 K% (608 PA, ages 21-22)
Player C: .274/.329/.455, 114 wRC+, 6.6 BB%, 25.5 K%, (1159 PA, ages 20-22)
Bonus player:
Player D: .284/.366/.506, 114 wRC+, 11.0 BB%, 20.3 K%, (1122 PA, ages 24-26)
Can you guess who is who?
A is Morales, B is Crews, C is House and D is Chaparro. Yes, there’s a bit of level/age factor at play (for example, House was playing in AAA at age 21, whereas Morales just got there at age 23).
But what stood out to me was the the almost identical stats of Crews and House at almost identical ages. We, or at least I, often think about House differently than college batters, because he’s been around for so much longer. But House is on basically the identical development path to Crews, who in comparison flew to the majors, but had the advantage of developing at LSU rather than Fredericksburg.
Morales, on the other hand, I still don’t understand his precipitous tumble on prospect lists, because of an injury-plagued 2024. Statistically, he’s been by a good margin the best performer of the bunch, albeit doing everything about a year or so behind the others.
Anyway, found this interesting, and it’s nice that we’ve got a relative glut of talent waiting in the wings to join the big league team.
I have echoed you through the offseason on thinking that Morales was being sold short after an injury-riddled season. I did have concern whether he would show the power necessary to play a corner position. His 5 HRs over 43 games this season would only project to 17 over 150, but his 12 doubles would project to 42. Interestingly, Lowe’s best MLB season (2023) was 17 HRs and 38 doubles. So Morales looks pretty comparable to Lowe right now, and if he gets into the 20-25 HR range, he could be better. FanGraphs has a 60 power grade on him, so 20-25 isn’t an unreasonable hope.
The brake-pumping caveat on Morales would be that he’s had really good BABIP “luck” at both levels this season: .387 at AA and .364 at AAA. He seems to have had high BABIP at all MiLB stops, though. I’m not sure what that means. It’s tempting to say that it means he hits the ball hard, but Crews has had high exit velos this season and truly awful BABIP.
Chance Huff threw two scoreless innings last night. He’s done well so far for the Sens.
Thanks Will for the stats.
Sykora vs Manaea. That’s a match up I hope we see at the big league level in the not-too-distant future,