|Rochester||OFF DAY||vs. Lehigh Valley, 7:05 p.m.||Cavalli (1-2, 6.18) vs. Falter (0-0, 0.00)|
|Harrisburg||OFF DAY||@ Portland, 6 p.m.||Guasch (2-5, 6.26) vs. Bello (4-2, 1.60)|
|Wilmington||OFF DAY||vs. Jersey Shore, 6:35 p.m.||Merrill (0-1, 6.19) vs. Russell (0-2, 4.97)|
|Fredericksburg||OFF DAY||@ Delmarva, 11:05 a.m.||Saenz (2-0, 3.71) vs. Long (0-1, 3.57)|
Rochester Red Wings (24-12, 1st, 4GA I.L. East)
About the only thing hotter than Rochester is Texas, thanks to a nine-game win streak and having won 15 of 18. However, the Red Wings are only slightly better than International League’s average in runs scored (5.39 vs. 4.90) and runs allowed (4.64 vs. 4.90). Sorry, Mr. Lee, but this is no ancient Chinese secret; Rochester has had a fair amount of luck lately. This week Lehigh Valley—the last team to win back-to-back games against the Red Wings—comes to Frontier Field for six, including a late-morning start on Thursday.
Harrisburg Senators (16-16, 4th, 4GB E.L. Swouthwest)
Conversely, the Senators have lost their last three series, including a 2-4 stretch against the first-place Flying Squirrels last week. Likewise, they’re at .500 despite a positive 19-run differential, fueled by having the third-best offense in the Eastern League. This week, they head to Portland for the first of two trips to New England this season.
Wilmington Blue Rocks (16-14, 2nd, 7½ GB Sally Lg. North)
Believe it or not, Wilmington is also underperforming its Pythagorean projection (18-12), thanks to its second-best team pitching (3.77 R/G vs. 4.92). In the four games that were not fogged out last week, the Blue Rocks took three of them. This week, they return to Frawley Stadium for six. For those of you who are superstitious, the writing’s on the wall for Sunday, which is when Wilmington will have a Yasel Antuna poster giveaway.
Fredericksburg Nationals (19-13, 1st, 2GA C.L. North)
Fredericksburg lost its first series of the season last week to Kannapolis, reducing its lead in the Carolina League North to two games. At the risk of pointing out that Det. Holmes remains constipated, the offense has cooled considerably though it’s still more than run better than the second-best offense in the league (6.81 vs. 5.76 R/G) and nearly two runs better than the league average (5.00). This week, it’s games 4-9 of 24 vs. Delmarva, beginning with a school-day game at 11:05 this morning.