Offseason Update: Sept. 24, 2016
Well, it’s been a week. I know some of you are still smarting from another late-inning collapse by the big club, complete with the requisite angst of “the guy we traded away did better than the guy we traded for,” as well as another managerial blunder (pro tip: when you have a true CF available in the late innings, you might want to use him on defense), but this is a site devoted to the minor leagues, so let’s follow my digital 13’s from last year and see what’s what…
THE STATE OF THE FARM
Two of the seven affiliates made the playoffs (Hagerstown, Potomac) and two narrowly missed (Harrisburg, GCL). Unfortunately, the other three were not believers in corporal punishment (that’s no hitting, kids) and had league-average pitching (Syracuse, DSL) or worse (Auburn), which resulted in finishes at or near the bottom of the standings.
Naturally, this is not the best bellwether. The system generated another starter for the big club (Trea Turner) and was able to call on a trio of upper-level starters (A.J. Cole, Reynaldo Lopez, Lucas Giolito) to fill in 16 times (as of this writing) for Joe Ross and Stephen Strasburg with subpar-but-not-bad-considering results (4-6, 5.11/5.04/1.51) as well as a hard-throwing reliever (Koda Glover). Even F.P. Santangelo can tell you that most of these guys were probably rushed a little, but it’s in line with the shift league-wide towards going younger.
As written in this space a year ago, the hopes for an influx of positional talent from the D.R. was fulfilled with the strong seasons from Juan Soto, Kelvin Gutierrez, and Jose “Orange” Marmolejos, with half-a-dozen or more guys behind them, though defense is a big “yeah, but” with the latter (e.g. Raudy Read, Osvaldo Abreu). And that’s not to overlook the ascendance of the age-appropriate Americans like Andrew Stevenson and Drew Ward.
In short, the system is still developing talent on both sides of the ball that can be used for both short-term and long-term needs.
BA TOP 20 LISTS
These are just starting up, so it looks like it’ll be another few days before we see our first Nationals, though I think most of us can probably guess it’ll be only a handful total and usually one or two (tops), for any given league. In other words, SSDY.
THE WATCHLIST AND THE GBI
A year ago, I was worried that this may have to be scrapped. I’m less worried about that than I am in keeping the GBI. I scaled it back this year and it still felt like a struggle to produce. I know it’s a popular feature, but if it stays, I think it’ll be monthly in 2017. My apologies in advance.
A SHOUTOUT TO DISTRICT ON DECK
My season reviews are much, much shorter than they used to be (like below). But one of the writers at District on Deck has taken on that task, and I’m passing along links to his work on the Potomac Nationals and, with my sympathies (for him, not you), the Syracuse Chiefs.
THE DSL NATIONALS
In a word, disappointing. While I don’t follow this level as closely as I used to, it just seems to me that a team with a lot of guys repeating the level should have done better. After being the youngest set of batters in the DSL in 2015, the pendulum swung back to just slight older than the league average (18.4 vs. 18.2) while the pitching staff was still younger (18.7 vs. 19.1).
As alluded to above, the offense was horrible: 35th in the 42-team league and more than a half-a-run worse than the league average (3.80 vs. 4.46). The pitching improved from near-the-worst (33rd out of 38) to middle-of-the pack (4.43 R/G vs. 4.46). The defense was, like 2015, slightly below average (.953FA vs. .957FA — remember, all we have to go on are the stats).
Without further comment, here are the obligatory Top 5’s, excluding the old-for-the-level players…
TOP 5 BATS | TOP 5 ARMS |
1. Jose Cabello, C/1B .259 GPA, 28 BB |
1. Yelmery Sisneros, LHSP 0.43/2.39/0.91, 4.56 K:BB ratio |
2. Santo Falcon, CF .234 GPA, 12 SB |
2. Angel Guillen, RHSP 1.67/2.61/0.94, 4.17 K:BB ratio |
3. Brailin Mesa, RF/LF .225 GPA, 16 2B |
3. Gilbert Chu, LHSP 3.18/2.68/0.96, 1.6 BB/9 |
4. Jesus Morales, 2B/3B .215 GPA, 10E |
4. Warner Duran, RHRP 1.65/2.59/1.22, 6BB in 32⅔ IP |
5. Juan Pascal, SS .209 GPA, 55 of 56G at SS |
5. Jairon Peguero, LHRP 4.91/2.91/1.46, 0HR in 33IP |
As you might imagine, there are no honorable mentions this year, especially since there were just two (2) batters above the league average and under the age of 20. Folks interested in seeing the entire team’s stats can find them here.
The biggest disappointment for me this year was the absolutely terrible offensive production at Auburn given how many of the bats they drafted in the early rounds played there.
I’m not as worried about Syracuse since most of the players there were of the AAAA variety and the few prospects who played there acquitted themselves quite well.
Many thanks, Luke.
Some more detail on (I think one of the July 2 signings) International signings in the following link:
http://www.minorleagueball.com/2016/9/17/12937346/2016-17-international-free-agent-ifa-notes-nl-east-al-east-atl-mia-nym-phi-was-bal-bos-nyy-tb-tor
I’ll just leave this here and walk away.
http://www.masnsports.com/byron-kerr/2016/09/matt-skole-earns-milb-gold-glove-winner.html
PROSPECT SWAP ALERT!!!
Chris Bostick, who was DFA’d to make room on the 40-man when Joe Ross came off the 60-day DL last week, was traded to Pittsburgh in exchange for minor league C Taylor Gushue, a 2014 4th rounder out of U of Florida who played at high A this season.
http://m.nationals.mlb.com/news/article/203481818/nationals-trade-chris-bostick-to-pirates/
It will be interesting to see what the Nats have in mind for Bushue as they appear to have starting catchers in place for all their full season teams next year.
Pedro Severino, 23, split time between AAA Syracuse and the bigs.
Spencer Keiboom, 25, a 2012 5th rounder, was at AA Harrisburg.
Raudy Read, 22, had a strong offensive season at A+ Potomac
Jakson Reetz, 20, a 2014 3rd rounder, was the starter at A Hagerstown.
Tres Barerra, 22, a 5th rounder this year, was the starter at A- Auburn.
If the team decides that Severino is ready for the bigs, either as Ramos’ backup if they re-sign the Buffalo or as a platoon with Lobaton if they don’t, presumably everybody slides up a spot. And if they don’t, then odds are everyone stays put to start the season.
Either way, it’s tough to see a spot for the new guy as the No. 1 catcher somewhere unless the team figures he’s more advanced than Keiboom, Read or Reetz.
Correction: Barrera was a 6th rounder, not 5th. (You need an edit function, Luke!)
I’m really glad that Mat Latos is pitching us to victory down the home stretch. Those innings he’s providing are extremely valuable. Where else can you find a pitcher to eat 8 innings over the course of a month and keep a stellar 7.27 ERA? Those types of guys don’t grow on trees, and are certainly way more deserving of a roster spot than a system top 30 prospect, who posted a .290/.356/.462 line at a premium position (2B) at age 23 in AA.
No, I’m not bitter at all.