Skip to content

NationalsProspects.com

NationalsProspects.com

  • About
  • FAQs
  • 2025 Watchlist and Player Reports
  • Too Old For The Level?
  • Road Trips

Lucas Giolito Headlines Half-Dozen Nats On BA Top 100

February 20, 2015

lucas-giolito
Spring training has only just begun but the prospect-ranking season, which never seems to end, culminated last night as Baseball America unveiled its 2015 Top 100 List.

Lucas Giolito, the undisputed* #1 Washington Prospect, came in at #7 this year. Joining him on the list are Michael Taylor (#32), Reynaldo Lopez (#49), Erick Fedde (#90), A.J. Cole (#91), and Joe Ross (#96).* Not counting parents, significant others, and agents, natch

The six prospects on the list is indeed the most ever for the franchise since it relocated from Montreal prior to the 2005 season. The previous high was four in 2011 when Bryce Harper (#1), Danny Espinosa (#66), Derek Norris (#72), and Wilson Ramos (#96) were all ranked. Four times the Nationals had just one prospect ranked in the annual preseason ranking (2005-2007, 2009).

Giolito is marking his third year on the list, having been ranked #21 last year and #67 in 2013, which are the bookends for the Tommy John surgery he underwent in August 2012 shortly after making his pro debut. In 2014, his first full season, he won 10 of 20 starts and turned in 98 innings, with a three-start layoff in May. He struck out 110 while walking just 28 for a robust pitcher’s line of 2.20/3.16/1.00, though he did give up seven HR’s (hence the just slightly better than league-average FIP).

The $64,000 question for 2015 is whether or not Giolito will progress to High-A Potomac after winning 10 of 20 starts made for Low-A Hagerstown in 2014. It lingers because the Nats do have a history of skipping top prospects from Low-A to AA, most recently with Brian Goodwin (2012) and previously with Bryce Harper (2011) and to lesser extent, Stephen Strasburg (2010) as it’s not as unusual for a collegiate “1-1” prospect to debut at that level.

The hope here is that the Nats handle Giolito much like Jordan Zimmermann (2008) or Taylor Jordan (2013) and give him 5-6 starts before sending him on his way to Harrisburg. Potomac opens at home this season, but a case of Hellenic flu could delay his debut for a week and allow for him to start on the road on normal rest four times, should the Nationals decide to split the difference while keeping him away from the DC area, as they’ve also done with high-profile pitchers (Matt Purke, 2012-2013).

On that note, here are the expected assignments for the rest of the Nats Top 100 guys:

  • Taylor — AAA Syracuse
  • Lopez — A+ Potomac
  • Fedde — GCL Nationals
  • Cole — AAA Syracuse
  • Ross — AA Harrisburg

Feel free to discuss in the comments (and stay warm).

Post navigation

Previous Post:

2015 Spring Training Thoughts

Next Post:

Nationals Unveil “Accelerated Camp” Roster

16 Commments

  1. NatsLady says:
    February 20, 2015 at 8:00 am

    Trea Turner was also in the top 100.

  2. Wally says:
    February 20, 2015 at 8:01 am

    Plus Turner @ 65. It does. Seem like the Nats system is well thought of this year, pretty much across the board.

    1. peric says:
      February 20, 2015 at 4:34 pm

      Still really a system of pitchers and catchers. Severino, Kieboom, and Reetz could end up cracking the list. Raudy Reed with an outside shot as well.

      Positionally still pretty weak.

      1. PDowdy says:
        February 23, 2015 at 10:29 am

        I’m fine with the system being pitching heavy. Pitching prospects can always be turned into position players in today’s game.

  3. Mark L says:
    February 20, 2015 at 10:28 am

    Apparently, BA was the only place in America who didn’t know Turner was traded to the Nats.

    1. John C. says:
      February 20, 2015 at 10:43 am

      In their defense, they are just going with the “official” MLB word there. At the moment Turner’s services are still officially dedicated to the Padres organization. And it is a meaningful distinction, because I believe that, until June, the risk of catastrophic injury to Turner rests with the Padres. I would expect that the trade included a slate of possible alternatives to complete the trade in such an event.

      1. Mark L says:
        February 20, 2015 at 10:55 am

        Keith Law brought up a good point as to why this is so stupid to make this wait until June 1. “It’s a cold day and a wet playing field in April, who are you going to put out on to the field, your stud prospect or the guy who belongs to another team”.

        1. John C. says:
          February 20, 2015 at 12:07 pm

          Well, how smart it is to throw the “other guy’s player” out on the field depends on what contingencies are built into the deal. Putting aside the issue of getting a reputation for dealing in bad faith in your first full year as a GM.

          1. Todd Boss says:
            February 20, 2015 at 1:09 pm

            I’ll bet that (save MLB changing their rules just for the Nats & Padres, which probably doesn’t happen without being bargained for in the next CBA) the Nats and Padres come to some sort of agreement on his usage prior the season.

            If I were the Nats … i’d tell the Padres to just keep him in extended spring. Its too bad we don’t have a “loaner system” for players like the pro soccer leagues. We could just loan guys here or there.

          2. Luke Erickson says:
            February 21, 2015 at 6:52 am

            It’s been well documented that PTBNLs have been loaned before. The problem was that in previous circumstances so few people knew that it wasn’t a big deal. It won’t happen here because MLB would be tacitly condoning the circumvention of the Pete Incavilgia rule. The bigger question is whether they close this loophole or repeal the rule in the next CBA. Quite frankly, I think it’ll be forgotten by then, given the threat/possibility of an international draft that I believe will be a bigger deal.

          3. KW says:
            February 20, 2015 at 1:59 pm

            Well, it probably won’t be a cold, wet day in April since the Pads’ A+ team is in the desert (Lake Elsinore)!

            Yes, there is risk, for both teams – SD in that it would have to come up with someone else if Turner were to get hurt; DC in that the Nats want that specific SS prospect. But do you sacrifice basically half a season of development for safety purposes? I don’t think so. I would think the Nats would want him playing at A+, progressing as rapidly as possible. There would be a small hope that Turner, err, He Who Should Not Be Named, could go to Harrisburg in mid-June if he starts strong at A+ (a distinct possibility in the CA League). He’ll more likely go to Potomac anyway, but there’s no hope of Harrisburg if he doesn’t really play until June.

      2. Luke Erickson says:
        February 21, 2015 at 7:21 am

        Exactly. It may be a technicality, but Turner’s not a National yet. I think the fears that the Padres will abuse him are, as you’ve noted, overblown if not imaginary. The Padres are not going to make any major move with Turner without consulting the Nationals, officially or otherwise.

        Now, you’ve got me concerned about having to add in “What Did Trea Turner Do?” into the daily template.

  4. Melissa says:
    February 20, 2015 at 11:36 am

    One big thing is that the Nats only had 1 prospect (Giolito) on BA’s 2014 top 100, so jumping from one to 6-7 is a testament to the success of the offseason trades and big steps forward by prospects already in the pipeline. Also of note is that Wilmer Difo is listed as a player who can jump into next year’s top 100 with a big season to supplement his breakout performance from last season.

    1. John C. says:
      February 20, 2015 at 12:09 pm

      Good point, Melissa. And with only one of the players in the Top 100 even somewhat likely to graduate (Taylor – I think Cole is a longshot given the pitching depth in the organization) it will be interesting to see where the organization ranks this time next year.

      Of course, with several free agents on the team this year, it’s a good thing to have the depth queue’d up!

  5. Jeff says:
    February 20, 2015 at 1:31 pm

    It’s time matty9 starts using the Roger craig line. Hum

    1. Jeff says:
      February 20, 2015 at 1:32 pm

      Hum, baby !!!

Comments are closed.

Pay The Bills




About/Contact/Misc.

  • About
  • FAQs
  • 2025 Watchlist and Player Reports
  • Too Old For The Level?
  • Road Trips

Resources

  • NationalsProspects on BlueSky
  • NationalsProspects on Facebook
  • RSS Feed
  • The Big Board
  • The Nats Draft Tracker
  • The Nats IFA Tracker

Blogroll

  • District On Deck
  • Fredericksburg Nationals (Facebook)
  • MLB.com Nationals Draft Tracker
  • Musings about Sports…
  • Rochester Red Wings (Facebook)
  • Senators Fan Club (Facebook)
  • TalkNats.com
  • The Nats Report
  • Wilmington Blue Rocks (Facebook)

Archives

  • May 2025
  • April 2025
  • March 2025
  • February 2025
  • January 2025
  • December 2024
  • November 2024
  • October 2024
  • September 2024
  • August 2024
  • July 2024
  • June 2024
  • May 2024
  • April 2024
  • March 2024
  • February 2024
  • January 2024
  • December 2023
  • November 2023
  • October 2023
  • September 2023
  • August 2023
  • July 2023
  • June 2023
  • May 2023
  • April 2023
  • March 2023
  • February 2023
  • January 2023
  • December 2022
  • November 2022
  • October 2022
  • September 2022
  • August 2022
  • July 2022
  • June 2022
  • May 2022
  • April 2022
  • March 2022
  • February 2022
  • January 2022
  • December 2021
  • November 2021
  • October 2021
  • September 2021
  • August 2021
  • July 2021
  • June 2021
  • May 2021
  • April 2021
  • March 2021
  • February 2021
  • January 2021
  • December 2020
  • November 2020
  • October 2020
  • September 2020
  • August 2020
  • July 2020
  • June 2020
  • May 2020
  • April 2020
  • March 2020
  • February 2020
  • January 2020
  • December 2019
  • November 2019
  • October 2019
  • September 2019
  • August 2019
  • July 2019
  • June 2019
  • May 2019
  • April 2019
  • March 2019
  • February 2019
  • January 2019
  • December 2018
  • November 2018
  • October 2018
  • September 2018
  • August 2018
  • July 2018
  • June 2018
  • May 2018
  • April 2018
  • March 2018
  • February 2018
  • January 2018
  • December 2017
  • November 2017
  • October 2017
  • September 2017
  • August 2017
  • July 2017
  • June 2017
  • May 2017
  • April 2017
  • March 2017
  • February 2017
  • January 2017
  • December 2016
  • November 2016
  • October 2016
  • September 2016
  • August 2016
  • July 2016
  • June 2016
  • May 2016
  • April 2016
  • March 2016
  • February 2016
  • January 2016
  • December 2015
  • November 2015
  • October 2015
  • September 2015
  • August 2015
  • July 2015
  • June 2015
  • May 2015
  • April 2015
  • March 2015
  • February 2015
  • January 2015
  • December 2014
  • November 2014
  • October 2014
  • September 2014
  • August 2014
  • July 2014
  • June 2014
  • May 2014
  • April 2014
  • March 2014
  • February 2014
  • January 2014
  • December 2013
  • November 2013
  • October 2013
  • September 2013
  • August 2013
  • July 2013
  • June 2013
  • May 2013
  • April 2013
  • March 2013
  • February 2013
  • January 2013
  • December 2012
  • November 2012
  • October 2012
  • September 2012
  • August 2012
  • July 2012
  • June 2012
  • May 2012
  • April 2012
  • March 2012
  • February 2012
  • January 2012
  • December 2011
  • November 2011
  • October 2011
  • September 2011
  • August 2011
  • July 2011
  • June 2011
  • May 2011
  • April 2011
  • March 2011
  • February 2011
  • January 2011
  • December 2010
  • November 2010
  • October 2010
  • September 2010
  • August 2010
  • July 2010
  • June 2010
© 2025 NationalsProspects.com | Powered by WordPress | Theme by MadeForWriters