Keith Law Ranks Nats’ Top 20 Prospects
The streak of waiting one day too few continues…
Yesterday, Keith Law released his Top 20 for the Nats, and let’s just say it differs from MLB Pipeline and Baseball America:
- Dylan Crews, OF
- Seaver King, SS
- Travis Sykora, RHP
- Brady House, 3B
- Jarlin Susana, RHP
- Kevin Bazell, C
- Alex Clemmey, LHP
- Cade Cavalli, RHP
- Luke Dickerson, SS
- Tyler Stuart, RHP
- Caleb Lomavita, C
- Yohandy Morales, 1B/3B
- Cayden Wallace, 3B
- Daylen Lile, OF
- Andry Lara, RHP
- Robert Hassell, OF
- Kevin Made, SS
- Jake Bennett, LHP
- Randal Diaz, SS
- Robert Cranz, RHP
Bold = 2024 Draft Pick
Italics = 2024 Trade pickup.
Suffice it to write, Law is high on Washington’s ’24 draft. Forty percent of this list was not here this time last year.
I’m a little disappointed that Law had the guts to drop Elijah Green but not Cade Cavalli. I know it may read like I’m picking on the latter, but Cavalli still turns 27 this summer and hasn’t made three starts in the same month since 2022.
A few other nuggets which would not have been in his Top 100 post last month:
…Susana allowed a .407 OBP to LHBs, which he attributes to his low arm slot that gives lefties an even longer look at the pitch.
…Like the Nats, Law likes Bazzell’s bat even at the expense of subpar defense but feels like the Texas Tech pick could close that gap.
…Despite his strong season, Law still sees Lara as a FB/SL reliever that they try to hide from lefties, who, like Susana, tee off on him (.467 SLG%).
…As Todd also noted, Law is higher on Stuart than most, with potential as a starter vs. a middle reliever. He likes his SL and CH more than his variety of FBs that don’t have much life despite his leverage as a power forward on the mound.
…Conversely, Law sees Lile as a 4th OF having barely enough glove to play center and not nearly enough power to play left or right. This would be more concerning if the Nats didn’t have a surplus of OF candidates.
…Unfortunately, one of those (in Law’s eyes) is not Hassell. It’s really hard to argue against his assessment that he “kind of stopped hitting entirely the moment he got to the Nats’ system and hasn’t resumed.”
…Finally, Law thinks Cranz could get a turn in the rotation this summer despite having spent most of his collegiate career in the ‘pen. This isn’t really all that radical, but lately a lot of teams seem willing to pigeon-hole pitchers into a relief role before seeing if they’re capable of more.
I just posted some thoughts over on Todd’s thread, but I found the insight into the players from the 2024 draft super interesting. Many of these guys were completely off the prospect radar. BA, for example, did a pre draft top 500, and guys like Cranz and Diaz weren’t ranked at all. It’s especially astounding because BA just ranked Cranz as the Nats’ 24th best prospect, but wasn’t at all on their radar just a few months prior.
So it’s good to get some better understanding of who these guys profile as. Diaz, in particular, sounds a lot like… Seaver King. A defensive SS with some bat projection from a mediocre college. The difference is King transferred to Wake Forest for a season, and that got him drafted in the first round, while Diaz stayed at Indiana State, and got a lot less eyes on him.
I can disagree with some of the placements (if you read Morales’ description, it sounds like Law is placing him much higher than he is), but I can’t much much to disagree with in the descriptions. It’s a pretty fair assessment of guys like Lara, Susana, Lile, etc. even if I’d err on the more optimistic side.