Season Review: 2010 Hagerstown Suns
The fourth of seven 2010 affiliate season reviews
Like the ’10 G-Nats, the 2010 Hagerstown Suns were a team that could mash the ball, leading the South Atlantic League in hits, runs scored, batting average and OPS. Unfortunately, they also led the league in runs allowed, hits allowed, and WHIP. Like adding insult to injury, salt to the wound, or a baby to a family sitcom, the defense did not help matters; it was second-worst in the league. That they even came close to the playoffs in the first half (36-34, 6GB) is a minor miracle.
Injuries, suspensions, and losing three-fifths of the starting rotation doomed the team to its sixth-place finish in the second half. Overall, the team went 65-75, three games behind its pythagorean projection. But there were some bright spots, too, most notably the possible resurrection of hope for a ’07 high-school pick that appeared to be on the path towards doing what a ’06 h.s. pick did in May: retire in ignominy (Colton Willems).
As we’ve done before, let’s take a look at Hagerstown’s hitters as a group compared to the rest of the Sally League…
HITTING
TEAM | AB | R | H | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OBP | SLG | GPA | SB |
Hagerstown | 4764 | 710 | 1289 | 72 | 398 | 1052 | .271 | .333 | .389 | .247 | 161 |
Lg. Avg. | 4702 | 632 | 1204 | 81 | 412 | 1074 | .256 | .323 | .377 | .240 | 146 |
Bold = League Leader
PITCHING
TEAM | IP | ERA | R/G | WHIP | HR | BB | SO | H/9IP | BB/9IP | K/9IP | K/BB |
Hagerstown | 1227.1 | 4.50 | 5.23 | 1.418 | 98 | 424 | 998 | .7 | 3.1 | 7.3 | 2.35 |
Lg. Avg. | 1229.1 | 3.82 | 4.54 | 1.315 | 81 | 412 | 1074 | 8.8 | 3.0 | 7.9 | 2.61 |
Three Suns (Bloxom, Ramirez, Perez) placed in the Top 10 of the Sally League for batting average, offsetting below-average on-base and slugging rates. While it’s tempting to say that this is a team of plodders when you subtract Eury Perez’s league-leading 64 steals, but this was also a team that led the league in triples (Perez had 5). The big inning was this team’s calling card, frequently scoring 3, 4, or 5 runs in single frame.
On the other side of the ledger scorebook, the lead was just as thick. Early on, the starting pitching was good — the aforementioned top three starters of Mitchell Clegg, Danny Rosenbaum, and Trevor Holder combined for a 13-6 record and an ERA of 2.63 in the first half — but in the second half, those marks would be 7-18 and 4.82 for the second-half triumvirate of Paul Applebee, Paul Demny and Graham Hicks.
But the relief pitching was horrid all year long, with just three full-time relievers (Rob Wort, Dean Weaver, Luis Garcia) posting sub-4.00 ERAs and only two falling below the league average for WHIP. Middle relievers Shane Erb, Wanel Vasquez, and Kyle Morrison appeared in 114 games and were 7-12 combined with six saves, an ERA of 6.06, and a WHIP of 1.69 over 175 innings.
I’m expanding to the Top 16 hitters and pitchers in terms of plate appearances and innings pitched because there are notables outside the Top 12. The full statistics for the team can be found here.
Name | Age | Position(s) | G @ Pos | Fld% | Err | PA | GPA |
J.P. Ramirez | 20 | LF | 73 | .922 | 10 | 551 | .275 |
Destin Hood | 20 | RF/LF | 69/60 | .960 | 9 | 537 | .247 |
Eury Perez | 20 | CF/RF/LF | 113/16/3 | .962 | 9 | 491 | .251 |
Justin Bloxom | 22 | 1B/3B/RF/LF | 81/13/11/7 | .983 | 14 | 454 | .279 |
Francisco Soriano | 23 | SS/2B | 68/24 | .925 | 32 | 414 | .252 |
Sandy Leon | 21 | C | 91 | .975 | 19 | 385 | .239 |
Brett Newsome | 23 | 1B | 64 | .994 | 3 | 366 | .264 |
Steven Souza | 21 | 3B/SS/RF | 75/2/1 | .890 | 27 | 344 | .246 |
Jeff Kobernus | 22 | 2B | 71 | .959 | 12 | 343 | .229 |
Justino Cuevas | 21 | IF/OF | 60/2 | .931 | 14 | 216 | .227 |
Adrian Nieto | 20 | C/1B | 50/1 | .967 | 13 | 203 | .194 |
Marcus Jones | 23 | RF/CF/LF | 36/7/2 | .948 | 4 | 197 | .196 |
Rick Hague | 21 | SS | 29 | .879 | 16 | 176 | .304 |
J.R. Higley | 22 | CF/RF | 22/13 | 1.000 | 0 | 133 | .225 |
Stephen King | 22 | 3B | 29 | .878 | 9 | 119 | .219 |
Adrian Sanchez | 19 | 2B/3B | 24/1 | .940 | 8 | 107 | .238 |
Before doing this review, it would have been easy to say that the suspensions of Souza and Higley hurt the team offensively, but it’s pretty clear that the additions of Hague and the second-half emergence Eury Perez more than made up for their loss from the lineup. Hitting was not this team’s problem. Defense, as you can see rather clearly with nine of 16 batters in double digits for errors committed, most assuredly was a weakness. As was pitching…
PLAYER | AGE | G/GS | W-L, SV | ERA | IP | H | BB | SO | WHIP | HBP | WP |
Paul Demny | 20 | 27/27 | 6-10, 0 | 4.23 | 129⅔ | 128 | 47 | 106 | 1.350 | 16 | 13 |
Paul Applebee | 22 | 29/11 | 6-6, 1 | 4.10 | 107⅔ | 119 | 27 | 67 | 1.356 | 5 | 5 |
Daniel Rosenbaum | 22 | 18/18 | 2-5, 0 | 2.32 | 101 | 95 | 28 | 84 | 1.218 | 7 | 4 |
Mitchell Clegg | 23 | 20/13 | 9-3, 2 | 3.48 | 93 | 95 | 22 | 55 | 1.258 | 2 | 1 |
Josh Smoker | 21 | 30/19 | 3-10, 3 | 6.50 | 91⅓ | 106 | 56 | 92 | 1.774 | 4 | 8 |
Kyle Morrison | 22 | 37/0 | 3-6, 2 | 5.30 | 73 | 86 | 29 | 88 | 1.575 | 5 | 13 |
Graham Hicks | 20 | 15/15 | 1-5, 0 | 5.26 | 66⅔ | 84 | 25 | 58 | 1.635 | 4 | 4 |
Trevor Holder | 23 | 12/12 | 4-3, 0 | 3.15 | 65⅔ | 68 | 7 | 50 | 1.142 | 4 | 4 |
Wanel Vasquez | 23 | 19/0 | 2-4, 3 | 7.00 | 54 | 66 | 25 | 32 | 1.685 | 4 | 8 |
Luis Garcia | 23 | 26/0 | 4-4, 0 | 3.88 | 51 | 48 | 17 | 43 | 1.275 | 5 | 10 |
Dean Weaver | 22 | 42/0 | 1-3, 16 | 3.04 | 50⅓ | 49 | 18 | 36 | 1.331 | 4 | 4 |
Shane Erb | 23 | 39/0 | 2-2, 1 | 6.19 | 48 | 53 | 37 | 30 | 1.875 | 4 | 9 |
Patrick Arnold | 21 | 26/0 | 2-3, 1 | 4.28 | 46⅓ | 56 | 16 | 33 | 1.554 | 2 | 4 |
Rob Wort | 21 | 33/0 | 5-0, 8 | 2.08 | 43⅓ | 28 | 16 | 33 | 0.854 | 2 | 3 |
Evan Bronson | 23 | 8/8 | 4-2, 0 | 5.40 | 43⅓ | 59 | 6 | 24 | 1.500 | 3 | 4 |
Jack McGeary | 21 | 8/8 | 4-1, 0 | 4.62 | 39 | 38 | 15 | 32 | 1.359 | 5 | 4 |
The ’07 pick referred to earlier was Josh Smoker. As a starter, his ERA was 7.38, his OBA was .319, and his WHIP was 1.872; as a reliever those numbers dropped to 1.35, .174, and 1.200. His walk rate, unfortunately, remained fairly constant (5.54 vs. 5.40) but his strikeout rate went up dramatically (8.19 to 14.17). Granted, it’s a small sample size (13⅓ innings over 11 appearances) but it’s something to look forward to in ’11, when he’ll be just 22 years old and he’ll still be a left-handed.
Next year could be quite unpredictable when it comes to guessing who will be back and who will be going up to Potomac for the Hagerstown pitchers. Smoker and Demny are likely to move up, based on the past offseason pattern of Florida Instructional League invites. Just about every pitcher that deserved a bump up to Potomac got one in-season. In terms of the hitters, it’s probably fair to say that most of the top six or seven guys will be Woodbridge next year, but with strong offensive outings from guys in Vermont and the GCL, it’s not a given.
OBLIGATORY TOP 5 LISTS
Without further ado, here are the watchlists, which may have some repeats next week. Feel free comment on how you think we ought to address that problem (a top 8 for full-season A?).
Batters
1. J.P. Ramirez
2. Rick Hague
3. Eury Perez
4. Destin Hood
5. Justin Bloxom
Pitchers
1. Daniel Rosenbaum
2. Rob Wort
3. Trevor Holder
4. Josh Smoker
5. Dean Weaver
Sue: As always, good, thought-provoking stuff. Here’s a couple of things I’m pondering over.
The defense has been a soft spot for a large number of players in the lower classes – It seems to me that players need a longer period of adjustment for balls coming off a wood bat vs. aluminium than you would think. Maybe the speed off aluminium turns a number of the college players into ‘ole’ fielders, and slower-hit balls in the pros start exposing weaknesses; I probably need to pay better attention to this next near…
Looking ahead a bit, the overall system depth is building – I’m starting to wonder if the “prospect” depth will finally begin to filter into the SYR lineup & bench in 2011, instead of a AAA lineup seemingly filled with +30 y.o. free agents. The 2010 SYR pitching staff had a number of 25-27 y.o. arms looking to make the jump.
It may be relative to nothing, but one of the most enlightening things I ever (over)heard was a scout lecturing the young pitchers about defense… “It gets much better every time you move up a level” and his advice was to (a) don’t let it bother them (b) don’t call their teammates out on it. I think there may be something to the bad-habit “ole” thing at the very lowest levels, but not by the time it’s full-season ball. But it’s something to think about.
I’m not sure if we’ll ever see the days of a AAA team with more prospects than AAAA players. But it will be a great day when Syracuse has more 25-year-olds than Potomac. Next year might be the first w/o one on the opening day roster.
Great stuff, Sue. This helps explains what happened at Hagerstown, there were a lot things to cheer about what happened there this year. A lot of quality players developing and moving up …………..but the wins just weren’t there.
Next year sure looks like fun in the big city there — Oduber, Sanchez, Hanks,Manno etc. The only downside is it’s looking more and more like Harper will start 2011 in Potomac.
I’m not sure if that’s necessarily a bad thing (about Harper). Even Keith Law thinks this kid is the real deal, in which case, there’s even an outside chance he’ll start in Harrisburg.
For one, I am looking forward to the 2011 season in Hagerstown, Harper or not. I’m headed to a season ticket holder party tonight – maybe some news will come out of it? I’ll post here if it does…
There is part of me that hopes he goes to Potomac so H-town can avoid the media circus and terrible parking issues that will ensue. :o\
Met new owners, etc. at the meeting. They all seem to think Harper is going to H-town at least for a few games. They made the impression to me that many of the renovations, while not only needed because of requirements, are being made to “pretty up the joint” to show the Nats that Harper should come here next year to start.
Apparently a new digital scoreboard with video screen is being installed (goodbye old scoreboard cowboy; sad), Wi-Fi throughout, and a brand spanking new field of dreams. The worst news of all was a new “net” surrounding the entire field. I hate the net and it’s got me sort of angry. As my kid said “it segregates the fans from the players, the game.” I’m sure it’s more “lawsuit” and league motivated, but if people would pay attention to the game, that bat wouldn’t find the side of their head while they are surfing the web on their phone. :o)
I disagree about the net. Even when people are paying attention, that doesn’t change the fact that (a) most people do not react fast enough (b) most of the subset that does will deflect the ball into someone else. This was discussed last summer in depth here.
I know that won’t change anyone’s mind, but like one of the commenters in that article noted, most of the ones that get hurt badly are small children.
We’ll agree to disagree then. Of all the stadiums i’ve been to in the past few years, the one I disliked the most was Hickory, NC. Had a net all the way around. Absolutely miserable to watch a game through and was not fan friendly. I won’t go there again. If it was my choice, they would only extend the net in H-town to the end of the dugouts and maybe a tiny bit past. That’s it. I was told by one owner that the new net was some “high tech” thin material. If it’s in front of my season ticket seat, i’m moving.
I was a catcher when I played. Suffice it to say, I’m used to it and my eyes have learned to filter it out. I’ve also taken a line drive to the head (yes, that may explain a few things) so I’m a little biased there, too 😉