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The BA Prospect Handbook

This is sort of the second of two posts that usually come with the release of the Baseball America Prospect Handbook. The first came with the release of the Top 30 two weeks ago.

Perhaps the most interesting wrinkle this year is the addition of ten “more prospects to know,” which becomes eight, as the Josh Bell trade effectively moved up Nos. 31 and 32 to 29 and 30 (and just about everyone else after the pre-trade #9, Mason Denaburg). Thus:

33. 2B Viandel Peña 37. RHP Niomar Gomez
34. OF Cody Wilson 38. LHP Mitchell Parker
35. LHP Evan Lee 39. RHP Zach Brzykcy
36. RHP Todd Peterson 40. C Geraldi Diaz

All but two of these players were already on the 2021 Watchlist. One was an NDFA (Brzykcy, pronounced “Brick-see”) and the other was a former DSL Arm (Gomez) who was decidedly mediocre in 2019 (4.26/3.65/1.58) in his second NYPL season [insert Billy Rowell defense here].

Three players were named as breakout prospects – SS Jackson Cluff, C Israel Pineda, and OF Daniel Marte. As noted in this post last year, three of the past four “breakout prospects” have been traded (RHP Eddie Yean, IF Kelvin Gutierrez, LHP Tyler Watson). The fourth was Pineda, who was the 2019 “Breakout Prospect.”

Now, let’s take a gander at what was predicted in 2018 for the 2021 lineup, which is always good for a laugh:

C – Raudy Read #1SP – Stephen Strasburg
1B – Daniel Murphy #2SP – Max Scherzer
2B – Wilmer Difo #3SP – Joe Ross
SS – Trea Turner #4SP – Erick Fedde
3B – Anthony Rendon #5SP – Wil Crowee
LF – Adam Eaton CL – Seth Romero
CF – Victor Robles  
RF – Bryce Harper  

They improved from three of 14 to four of 14 with this SWAG and like a year ago, you might give ’em credit for more if Ross, Fedde, or Romero end up in those roles.

And we’ll close out with this year’s “Blinkin” for 2024, resplendent with its usual presumptions of no trades, free agent movement, injuries, or decreases (or in this year’s edition, increases) in skill:

C – Tres Barrera #1SP – Stephen Strasburg
1B – Yasel Antuna #2SP – Patrick Corbin
2B – Luis Garcia #3SP – Cade Cavalli
SS – Trea Turner #4SP – Jackson Rutledge
3B – Carter Kieboom #5SP – Cole Henry
LF – Juan Soto CL – Tanner Rainey
CF – Victor Robles  
RF – Andrew Stevenson  
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