Another Confusing Post About Options
I hadn’t necessarily planned on revisiting this, but it came up in the comments yesterday, so I figured it might be worth an update and a revisit.
During the “dark times” that preceded this site, I remember this would come up on Brian Oliver’s Nationals Farm Authority. Often (usually) in the context of when it came time to make the final cuts, there would angst over why they would be opting for the veterans instead of “playing the kids” (Justin Maxwell, we hardly knew ye). Now, I think most of us understand that (A) the kids weren’t as good as advertised (B) the system’s depth was Kardashian-shallow.
Of course, with a contender and a less barren farm, the Washington Nationals don’t have to consider choosing between youth, 4As, and fringe major-leaguers.
Let’s get to it… once a player is added to the 40-man roster during the 25-man period (a.k.a. Opening Day to August 31), he can be sent up and back to the minors for three seasons (and sometimes four) until the player accrues five years of major-league service, at which point the player can refuse (and become a free agent). Naturally, there are exceptions… a player can be sent down for up to 20 consecutive days without an option being “burned” and rehab assignments are excluded (thus, for example, Cole Kimball did not use an option at all in 2012, but did accrue MLB service time).
Before I go any further, let me give credit to the research of Todd Boss as well our volunteer who runs the Big Board, SpringfieldFan, for making this post easier, if not possible.
The list of players on the 40-man roster who are excluded from this exercise (5+ yrs MLB service) is short:
Zach Duke | Dan Haren | Adam LaRoche |
Rafael Soriano | Kurt Suzuki | Chad Tracy |
Jayson Werth | Ryan Zimmerman |
Not much danger here, most are established veterans and the most vulnerable (Duke) is lefthanded on a team without many southpaws.
The more important list is this one — players with less than five years’ service, without options:
Roger Bernadina | Tyler Clippard | Ross Detwiler |
Carlos Rivero | Henry Rodriguez |
The scenario suggested in the comments that sees Espinosa put on the DL, Lombardozzi sliding into the lineup as the 2B, and Rivero manning the bench certainly seems possible. Unfortunately, the lack of options could keep H-Rod around, too.
Finally, there’s this list — guys with just one option left:
Corey Brown | Chris Marrero | Ryan Mattheus |
Yunesky Maya | Ryan Perry | Wilson Ramos |
Craig Stammen |
Maya and Perry are interesting cases in that they were added to the 40-man so soon after their acquisition that they appear to be eligible for a fourth option, which is typically granted for players with less than five years’ pro service. Technically, Bryce Harper has one left, too, but with just nine more regular-season games (139) in the majors than the minors (130) from 2011 to 2012, I’m presuming he’d get a fourth option year if it were ever needed.
I think most people would be focused on those first two names in the first row as possible trade bait, as both appear to be blocked — perhaps even by multiple players. Expectations, however, should be severely tempered — Nationals G.M. Mike Rizzo covets “contingencies” and Chris Marrero has yet to prove he’s reverted to pre-injury form.
Next up: A look at the possible pitchers for the full-season affiliates.
Fyi, I’ve updated the XLS in Google Docs for all our DFAs, non-tenders, trades and FA signings.
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aoe2S6_m1TendEtrUjFBSDg5VkRIOHR5NjNPbGhqUEE#gid=0
The referenced post in this link was from November and is way out of date now.
I also have the service time calculations in the spreadsheet and have noted a couple places where I disagree with service time calculations with Cots (which seems to be the accepted online source). Not that anyone really cares about service time though (well, except Super-2 guys who get an extra payday).
…and their agents, significant others, spouses, etc. 😉
Todd at Nats Arms has put a lot of thought in to this stuff, both him and Springfield Fan are to be applauded for keeping us seamheads ahead of the curve.
Luke, how does the ‘dark times’ compare with the ‘dark side’?
Inquiring minds want to know!
I don’t think lack of options is going to save H-Rod anymore. his injury last year clouded the evaluation process but with their WS or bust proclamation no dead weight can be carried
yeah but Rizzo views Hanrahan as his biggest mistake and doesn’t want to repeat it… I’m not saying it would be the mistake, but that is the fear.
Great job with the matrix T Boss — thanks for putting it together and sharing.
In addition to the possibility of Espinosa visiting the DL, Lombo playing 2nd and Rivero being on the bench, I wonder if it’s remotely possible they let Espinosa try to play through the pain, add Rivero to the bench and send Lombo down due to his option status? I think it would be a drop off in production, but it would protect Rivero for a bit and you’d always have Lombo a phone call away. I know, I know….crazy talk.
No way. Lombo has proven that he is able to play all over the field. The “WS or bust” mantra pretty much guarantees that there is no way they’d trade a lack of production just to protect a replacement level player.
BTW, a perfect photo for this post. 🙂