| Team | Yesterday | Today | Pitching Probables |
| Rochester | OFF DAY | vs. Lehigh Valley, 6:05 p.m. | Murphy (2-3, 5.66) vs. Skirrow (0-0, 0.00) |
| Harrisburg | OFF DAY | @ New Hampshire, 6:35 p.m. | Troop (7-4, 4.44) vs. Kloffenstein (1-5, 6.53) |
| Fredericksburg | OFF DAY | vs. Lynchburg, 7:05 p.m. | Rutledge (8-6, 4.90) vs. Denholm (5-5, 4.79) |
| Editor’s note: The probables are based on last week’s usage, as none of the press notes on Sunday listed today’s starters. | |||
Rochester Red Wings, 59-76, 8th Place, 16GB
The Red Wings broke even last week against the S-Mets but were also eliminated from the playoffs. This week, it’s the last six-game series at home as Rochester hosts Lehigh Valley.
Harrisburg Senators, 21-41, 6th place, 14½ GB (51-80 overall)
Harrisburg finishes the 2022 campaign with six in the Manchester not by the sea, a.k.a. New Hampshire. As noted in the comments, there may be some “promotions” this week to move up players from Wilmington and/or Rochester for further evaluation, a practice that was common when the NYPL would go a week longer than Low-A.
Fredericksburg Nationals, 42-22, 1st place, 7½ GA (75-55 overall)
The FredNats host their first playoff game since the franchise relocated from Woodbridge, having dominated in the second half despite promotions and because of the influx of new talent from the FCL and The Trade.
On paper, this looks to be a rout – the Carolina League’s top-scoring offense against a slightly better-than-average team batting and pitching. But with a best-of-three, the pressure is actually on Fredericksburg to win tonight because if they don’t, Lynchburg can return home with not one but two chances to win. That may not seem fair, but that’s the way it works – first-half winner gets HFA.
Should the FredNats win the Battle of the ‘Burgs, they’ll likely face a very tough opponent in the Riverdogs, which lost the first half by game despite winning 46 and won the second half by the same 7½-game margin. Charleston also has the top pitching staff, allowing nearly a full run less than the league average (4.32 vs. 5.01). Conversely, despite being 13 wins worse than the Riverdogs overall, the FredNats would get the benefit of being the home team in the Mills Cup Finals, thanks to the predetermined “North in the even years, South in the odd” playoff format.