May 142016
 


Our semi-weekly look at the leaders, trailers, and outliers in the Washington Nationals minor leagues.

SYRACUSE CHIEFS 19-15, 1st place I.L. North, 1 games ahead

Good Brian Goodwin .316/.378/.482, 3HR, 17RBI in 32G
Aaron Laffey 3-0, 1.55/3.02/1.34 in 7 appearances, 6GS
Bad Kevin Keyes .450 OPS, 20K in 15G since callup
A.J. Cole 1.66 WHIP, 5HR in 31⅓ IP (7GS)
Interesting Pedro Severino .355/.375/.581 in May (9G)
16 holds, T2nd in I.L.


HARRISBURG SENATORS 15-18, 4th place E.L. West, 8½ games behind

Good Neftali Soto, .353/.411/.608, 3HR, 19RBI in May (13G)
Jaron Long 1-1, 1.33/4.09/1.33 WHIP in 4GS
Bad Shawn Pleffner .387 OPS in 31G
Gilberto Mendez 0-2, 8.24 ERA, 1.88 WHIP in nine appearances
Interesting 42SB, 2nd in E.L.; 9CS, fewest in E.L. (82.4 SB%)
33HR most allowed in the E.L.


POTOMAC NATIONALS 17-15, 2nd place C.L. North, 4 games behind

Good Andrew Stevenson .331/.396/.452, 14SB in 30G
Ryan Brinley 2-0, 4 SV, 0.64/1.72/0.79 in nine appearances
Bad Justin Thomas 1-2, 8.10ERA, 11BB in 10IP
Bryan Mejia 6E in 28G
Interesting 28E, fewest (tied) in C.L. (yes, really)
23 GIDP, most (tied) in C.L. (with Salem on both)


HAGERSTOWN SUNS 21-12, 2nd place Sally North, 1½ games behind

Good Victor Robles .336/.423/.484, 12SB in 33G
Matt Crownover 3-1, 1.44/3.61/1.04 in 25IP
Bad Jakson Reetz .504OPS in 19G
Luis Torres 1-1, 7.20ERA, 1.73WHIP in 15IP
Interesting Ian Sagdal .307/.386/.477 in 26G
Jorge Pantoja 5-0, 0.63/2.43/0.70 in 14⅓ IP
Dec 092015
 


The trend of a consensus on a handful then free-for-all returns with the latest iteration of the NationalsProspects.com Top 10 Position Players list.

This year 21 players were named on 10 ballots (including mine). It was 24 a couple of years ago but only 15 last year.

The top two picks were either #1 or #2 in nine of the 10 ballots, as was the #1 pick. Without further ado, ze list:

  1. Trea Turner
  2. Victor Robles
  3. Wilmer Difo
  4. Anderson Franco
  5. Andrew Stevenson
  6. Christopher Bostick
  7. Pedro Severino
  8. Rafael Bautista
  9. Osvaldo Abreu
  10. Spencer Kieboom

Others receiving votes: Brian Goodwin, Drew Ward, Jose “Orange” Marmolejos-Diaz, Isaac Ballou, Blake Perkins, Jakson Reetz, Rhett Wiseman, Telmito Agustin, Max Schrock, Bryan Mejia, Matt Skole

My prediction that half the names from last year’s Top 10 would be gone proved to be true, though just two could be attributed to trade (Steve Souza) and graduation (Michael Taylor). It would be difficult to characterize the disappearance of last years nos. 4-7 (Drew Ward, Jakson Reetz, Brian Goodwin, and Matt Skole) as anything other than disappointment with their 2015 seasons.

One other interesting trend that ought to be obvious: the Dominican pipeline seems to be producing more interesting players (6 of the Top 10, 8 of the twenty) than the domestic draft.

Next up: The pitchers, which I suspect will be a similar case of three or four that everybody agrees on… then a lament of the lack of lefties… and then complaints about age…

Jul 182015
 

Our weekly look at the leaders, trailers, and outliers in the Washington Nationals minor leagues.

SYRACUSE CHIEFS 37-57, 6th place I.L. North, 13½ games behind

Good Trea Turner, 12-game on-base streak
Bad Taylor Hill 0-2, 9.00 ERA, 1.86 WHIP in July (3GS)
Interesting A.J. Cole 16 shutout inning streak



HARRISBURG SENATORS 47-46, 5th place E.L. West, 4 games behind

Good Austin Voth 1-0, 0.45 ERA, 0.80 WHIP in July (3GS)
Bad 37 team HR — fewest in Eastern League
Interesting Pedro Severino .333/.368/.417in July (10G)



POTOMAC NATIONALS 11-9, 1st place C.L. North, ½ game ahead (44-46 overall)

Good Khayyan Norfork .357/.386/.452 in July (12G)
Bad Norfork’s .684 OPS highest on the current roster
Interesting 43 of 338 runs scored without an RBI


HAGERSTOWN SUNS 11-11, T4th place Sally North, 4 games behind (46-44 overall)

Good Connor Bach 2-0, 2.11 ERA, 0.98 WHIP since All-Star break (4G, 3GS)
Bad Diomedes Eusebio .119/.178/.143 since All-Star break (11G)
Interesting Bryan Mejia .943OPS since his callup


AUBURN DOUBLEDAYS 11-14, 4th place Pinckney Division, New York-Penn League, 8 games behind

Good Andrew Stevenson .361/.413/.431, 7SB, 11R, 9RBI in 18G
Bad McKenzie Mills 0-2, 11.74 ERA, 2.23 WHIP (11⅔ IP)
Interesting Dalton Dulin 10BB in 14G


GCL NATIONALS 12-11, 2nd place East Division, Gulf Coast League, 1 game behind

Good Maximo Valerio 3-0, 1.52 ERA, 0.97 WHIP in 5G, 3GS
Bad Andres Martinez 5E, .437OPS in 9G
Interesting Philip Diedrick 3HR in 5G


DSL NATIONALS 19-23, T3rd place Boca Chica North, 11 games behind

Good 17-y.o. Juan Evangelista .273/.323/.460, 28RBI in 40G
Bad 18-y.o. Angel Guillen 1-2, 5.87 ERA, 1.70 WHIP in 15⅓ IP
Interesting 19-y.o. Yordani Garcia 3-2, 2.93 ERA, 1.83 WHIP, 5HBP, 8BB in 15IP
May 022015
 


Our weekly look at the leaders, trailers, and outliers in the Washington Nationals minor leagues.

SYRACUSE CHIEFS 8-14, 5th place I.L. North, 6 games behind

Good Mitch Lively 0.71 ERA, 0.79 WHIP, 11K in 12⅔ IP over 6 appearances
Bad Steven Lerud .366 OPS in 31PA
Interesting Cutter Dykstra 11BB, 18K in 18G


HARRISBURG SENATORS 10-11, T3rd place E.L. West, 4 games behind

Good Mario Lisson .323/.382/.516
Bad 15HR allowed, 2nd most in E.L.
Interesting Pedro Severino .321/.377/.482, 2HR, 12RBI in 16G


POTOMAC NATIONALS 10-12, 3rd place C.L. North, 3 games behind

Good Nick Pivetta 1-2, 1.35/2.93/1.00 in 20IP (4GS)
Bad 26 errors, most in the C.L.
Interesting 13SB allowed, fewest in the C.L.


HAGERSTOWN SUNS 10-11, T5th place Sally North, 5 games behind

Good “Orange” Marmolejos-Diaz, 3HR, .470 SLG%
Bad Ryan Ullmann 8.31 ERA, 1.69 WHIP in 13⅓ IP
Interesting 138 team batting K, 2nd-fewest in Sally Lg.
Apr 252015
 


Not sure if there’s joy in Mudville, but I’m hoping this will help. After five years of being a Friday feature, we’re shifting this feature to the weekends (Saturday’s the goal, but I reserve the right to push it to Sunday 😉

For the newcomers…. this a silly little thing I began a few years ago on a lark. It’s somehow become one of the site’s staples. Stolen from Named after comedian Demetri Martin’s segment of the same name from his too-brief (2009-2010) run on Comedy Central, it’s another way of taking a look at who’s doing well, poorly, or something unexpected.

Invariably, it seems that whenever a player makes this list — good or bad — his fortune turns. Of course, that’s merely coincidence, but as much as we embrace science and statistics, superstition will always have a place in baseball narrative. Therefore, this effect is known as “the curse of the GBI.”

Now, for the usual disclaimers… it’s early, sample sizes are small, stats in the minors aren’t as meaningful as we think, void where prohibited, professional driver on closed course, etc.

And the usual reminder: The guys, their families, and their agents reading this, so keep it clean in the comments. This is just for fun.

SYRACUSE CHIEFS 5-9, 5th place I.L. North, 5½ games behind

Good Jason Martinson .313/.365/.479, 2HR in 13G
Bad Manny Delcarmen 15.95 ERA, 2.73 WHIP in six appearances
Interesting Team 2.7 BB/9IP leads Int’l Lg.


HARRISBURG SENATORS 7-8, T3rd place E.L. West, 2 games behind

Good C’s Pedro Severino & Cole Leonida 2SB, 10CS
Bad Stephen Perez .465 OPS in 15G
Interesting Matt Skole 10BB, 20K in 15G


POTOMAC NATIONALS 9-6, 2nd place C.L. North, ½ game behind

Good Wilmer Difo .305/.379/.525, 3HR, 10RBI in 15G
Bad James Yezzo .138/.278/.207, 8K in 10G
Interesting 10HR in 15G — 1st in Car. Lg.


HAGERSTOWN SUNS 6-9, T6th place Sally North, 6 games behind

Good Austen Williams 2-0, 0.57/1.96/0.96 in 3GS
Bad Osvaldo Abreu 6E in 13G
Interesting One (1) hold in 15G
Oct 182014
 

neilholland101713
As some of you have noted already in the comments, the numbers haven’t been pretty thus far. According to manager Patrick Anderson (via Byron Kerr), it’s been “some pitches up to some decent hitters” (Felipe Rivero) and “balls right on the nose right at people” (Tony Renda). But it is what it is, the numbers don’t always tell you the real story, and it’s still early, right? Many of these things are true, or have a modicum of truth, but if I don’t mock the coachspeak, who will?

Now, for the numbers…

BATTERS

PLAYER G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO AVG OBP SLG SB
Tony Renda 7 23 1 2 2 0 0 0 1 6 .087 .125 .174 1
Spencer Kieboom 3 10 1 5 1 0 1 3 2 1 .500 .583 .900 0
Pedro Severino 3 9 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 2 .111 .200 .111 0

PITCHERS

PLAYER W L SV ERA G GS IP H R ER HR BB SO WHIP
Felipe Rivero 0 2 0 6.23 2 2 8⅔ 10 6 6 1 3 5 1.50
Derek Self 0 0 0 1.80 3 0 5 3 1 1 1 3 3 1.20
Neil Holland 0 1 0 14.73 3 0 3⅔ 7 6 6 1 3 2 2.73
Matt Grace 0 0 0 8.10 3 0 3⅓ 4 3 3 0 3 5 2.10


And now some more pics from Lee (don’t worry this isn’t in lieu of tomorrow’s scheduled post, it’s to get these pics in!)

pedroseverinothrowing101714 spencerkieboomcatching10171
MattGracePitching101714 DerekSelfPitching101714
Oct 122014
 

SpencerKieboom101114 copy
OK, so I haven’t come up with a name for this post yet. “This Week In The Nats Minors” or “The Washington Farm Report” seem a little too been there, done that, bought the t-shirt. “Next-Gen Nats?” Um, sure, but I’ll have to change my site’s color scheme to teal, purple, and black. I’m open to suggestions… In the meantime, let’s do this weekly thing again.

ARIZONA FALL LEAGUE
Thanks to a rainout — the first since 2011 — the Mesa Solar Sox have played just four games, losing the first three by a collective score of 30-9 before finally getting a win with a 6-3 decision last night. As you might imagine, the stats thus far aren’t pretty, so let’s hold on posting them. I am thinking another picture-gallery post midweek might be in order.

BA TOP 20 PROSPECT LISTS
As noted in the comments, Pedro Severino edged into BA’s Carolina League Top 20 at #18, which is actually a mild surprise given the size and talent of the league, but not undeserved. Severino’s ballyhooed defense actually fell short of the hype during last offseason, but that’s not to say he’s not a good defender. Perhaps not at the level of Sandy Leon at the same (st)age, but not far off either. Like Leon in 2011, the 21-year-old Severino’s bat came alive in 2014, particularly in the second half, and that’s what caught the attention of scouts. The hope/unknown is whether that’ll continue in 2015.

TRANSACTION STUFF
Greg Dobbs, we hardly knew ye, as the 36-y.o. who stapled a .483 OPS in 13 games with the big club and thumbtacked AAA pitchers for a .635 mark in 36 games has declared free agency.

WINTER LEAGUE
Folks are hungry to know who’s playing winter ball. The Mexican Pacific League and the Venezuelan Winter League started up this weekend, and a scan of the rosters has turned up three pitchers:

Rafael Martin (Hermosillo, MWL)
Paolo Espino (Anzoategui, VWL)
David Ramos (Aragua, VWL)

The Dominican Winter League starts on this Friday, while the Puerto Rican and Australian winter leagues both start up on the 30th.

THE AUBURN DOUBLEDAYS
The Doubledays couldn’t help but improve on 2013, which won the fewest games (26) since the ’06 Lake Monsters (23) and was dead last in pitching and third-worst in hitting. The 2014 crew, which included a sizable contingent from the ’13 GCL squad, broke the 30-win mark and performed to its pythagorean projection of 34-41 with 299 runs scored (3.99/G) and 332 allowed (4.43) with the league averaging 4.15 runs per game. After years of being among the league’s oldest teams [insert college-senior drafting remark here], the Doubledays hitters were slightly older (21.2 vs. 21.0) while the pitchers were the fourth-youngest crew in the league (20.9)

And with that I’ll leave you with the Top 5’s…

TOP 5 BATS TOP 5 ARMS
1. Raudy Read, C, .265 GPA, .462 SLG% 1. Reynaldo Lopez, RHP, 0.75/3.14/0.83, .124 OBA
2. Jose Marmolejos-Diaz, 1B, .250 GPA, .996FA 2. Robbie Dickey, RHP, 2.25/2.74/1.05, 1.35BB/9 allowed in 20IP
3. D.K. Carey, CF, .248 GPA, .353 OBP 3. Travis Ott, LHP, 3.05/3.98/1.24, 6.7 H/9
4. Cody Gunter, 3B, .239 GPA, 23BB in 54G 4. Mario Sanchez, RHP, 4.11/3.50/1.17, 2.8 BB/9
5. Austin Davidson, IF, .231 GPA, 4.89 RF/G (2B) 5. Chase McDowell, RHP, 4.50/3.16/1.54, 0.98 BB/9


Honorable mentions go to Matthew Page and Austen Williams, but like the GCL crew, it was not easy after the first two or three names — especially in a year where the Nats had several multiple-level pitchers. As always, folks who want to see the numbers for the full team, can find them here.

Oct 072014
 
FelipeRivero100714 PedroSeverinoBatting100714
TonyRendaFielding100714 SpencerKieboom100714

The weekly posting plan still remains, but with a little time to spare — and some great pics to share — I’d figure I’d do a quick post to give folks a taste of fall ball while you await the outcome of the NLDS.

The Solar Sox were eclipsed by the Desert Dogs by a score of 9-3 this afternoon. As you can see, Felipe Rivero got the start but remained in 2014 Harrisburg form with four runs allowed on seven hits and two walks. He struck out three and gave up a solo home run.

Tony Renda and Pedro Severino both started on offense, but went 0-for-3 with a walk and 0-for-2 respectively.

Matt Grace and Derek Self both appeared in relief and both struggled, with Grace giving up two runs in one inning and Self giving up a HR in two innings of work.

See you on Sunday with a summary of the week’s happenings in the minors (and some more pics, no doubt).

Sep 052014
 

Our final look at the leaders, trailers, and outliers in the Washington Nationals minor leagues. Repeats from 2013 are in italics.

SYRACUSE CHIEFS
81-62, 1st place International League North, 2½ games ahead

Good Bat: Steve Souza .350/.432/.590, 18HR, 75RBI, 26SB in 96G
Arm: Taylor Hill 11-7, 1SV, 2.81 ERA, 1.56 BB/9, 144 IP
Bad Bat: Josh Johnson .622 OPS in 90G
Arm: Josh Roenicke 5.45 ERA, 1.71 WHIP in 23 appearances, 15 starts (79⅓ IP)
Interesting Bat: Emmanuel Burriss .300/.377/.412, 22SB, 22E in 116G
Arm: Rafael Martin 1-1, 10 SV, 0.80 ERA, 0.80 WHIP in 33⅔ IP


HARRISBURG SENATORS
53-89, 6th place Eastern League Western Division, 26 games behind

Good Bat: Michael Taylor .313/.396/.539, 22HR, 34SB in 98G
Arm: A.J. Cole 6-3, 2.92/2.58/1.32, 61K in 14GS (71IP)
Bad Bat: Adrian Sanchez .568 OPS, 11E in 89G
Arm: Zach Kroenke 3-9, 6.72 ERA, 1.82 WHIP, 13HR in 83IP
Interesting Bat: Kevin Keyes .740 OPS, 20HR in 114G
Arm: Matt Grace 3-1, 3SV, 1.02 ERA, 1.25 WHIP in 22 appearances (35⅓ IP)


POTOMAC NATIONALS
40-27 in 2nd half, 1st place Carolina League Northern Division, 7 games ahead
38-31 in 1st half, 1st place, 4½ games ahead
78-58 overall

Good Bat: Tony Renda .307/.381/.377, 10SB in 107G
Arm: Matt Spann 9-5, 3.81/4.09/1.38, 4HR in 106⅓ IP
Bad Bat: Justin Miller .625 OPS, 53K in 62G
Arm: Brett Mooneyham 2-4, 7.36 ERA, 2.12 WHIP in 33IP (10 appearances, 7 starts)
Interesting Bat: Pedro Severino .308/.379/.477 in 2nd half, .199/.246/.335 in 1st half
Arm: Ian Dickson 3-4, 2.64 ERA in 2nd half, 1-4, 6.25 in 1st half


HAGERSTOWN SUNS
43-27 in 2nd half, T1st place South Atlantic League Northern Division, won on tiebreaker
44-26 in 1st half, T1st place, lost on tiebreaker
87-53 overall

Good Bat: Wilmer Difo .315/.360/.470, 14HR , 49SBs in 136G
Arm: Lucas Giolito 10-2, 2.20/3.16/1.00 in 98IP (20 starts)
Bad Bat: David Masters .522 OPS, 7E in 51G
Arm: Jake Johansen 5-6, 5.19/4.05/1.74 in 100⅔ IP (29 appearances, 18 starts)
Interesting Bat: Rafael Bautista .290/.341/.382, 69SB in 134G
Arm: Reynaldo Lopez 4-1, 1.33/2.91/0.80 in 47&8531; IP (nine starts)


AUBURN DOUBLEDAYS
34-41, 3rd Place Pinckney Division of New York-Penn League, 13½ games behind

Good Bat: Raudy Read .281/.332/.462, 6HR in 57G
Arm: Travis Ott 1-2, 3.05/3.98/1.24 in 44&⅓ IP (10 starts)
Bad Bat: Osvaldo Abreu .584 OPS, 20E in 58G
Arm: David Ramos 1-2, 1SV, 7.97 ERA, 1.82 WHIP in 15 appearances
Interesting Bat: Jose “Orange” Marmolejos-Diaz .265/.341/.385 in 65G
Arm: 19-y.o. Mario Sanchez 6-1, 3.50 FIP, 1.17WHIP in 35IP (18 appearances)


GCL NATIONALS
25-35, T3rd place Gulf Coast League East Dvision, 12 games behind

Good Bat: 18-y.o. Jakson Reetz .274/.429/.368 in 43G
Arm: 19-y.o. Jean Ramirez 3-1, 1SV, 3.41/3.60/1.45 in 31⅔ IP (14 appearances)
Bad Bat: Darryl Florentino .195/.222/.273 in 43G
Arm: Deibi Yrizarri 2-4, 9.08 ERA, 1.83 WHIP, 10HBP in 36⅔ IP
Interesting Bat: 18-y.o. Aldrem Corredor .411 OBP, 25BB, 18K in 32G
Arm: 20-y.o. John Feliz 3-1, 1.08 ERA, 0.72 WHIP in 10 appearances (promoted to Auburn)


DSL NATIONALS
42-28, 3rd place, Boca Chica South Division of Dominican Summer League, 8½ games behind

Good Bat: 17-y.o. Davinson Pimentel .350/.443/.550 in 55G
Arm: 19-y.o. Joan Baez 4-1, 1.15/2.96/1.00 in 71⅓ IP (15 appearances, 14 starts – promoted to GCL)
Bad Bat: 18-y.o. Neivy Pilier .171/.265/.205 in 37G
Arm: 18-y.o. Jose Nunez 0-0, 8.25ERA, 2.50 WHIP in 24IP (12 appearances, 4 starts)
Interesting Bat: 17-y.o. Telmito Agustin .300/.413/.495, 25SB in 60G
Arm: 17-y.o. Yonathan Ramirez 3-0, 2SV, 2.63/2.59/0.91 in 27⅓ IP (11 appearances)
Aug 012014
 


Our weekly look at the leaders, trailers, and outliers in the Washington Nationals minor leagues.

SYRACUSE CHIEFS 62-49, 1st place I.L. North +.001 W% ahead

Good Emmanuel Burris .351/.422/.514 in July (17G)
Bad Taylor Hill 0-3, 5.48/6.67/1.69, 5HR in 5 July GS
Interesting Rafael Martin 38 consecutive IP w/o an ER (19⅓ at AA; 18⅔ at AAA)



HARRISBURG SENATORS 45-65, 6th place E.L. West, 20 games behind

Good Scott McGregor 1-0, 2.25 ERA, 0.85 WHIP in July
Bad Senators third baseman not named Adrian Sanchez = 19E, .875 Fld. Pct.
Interesting Adrian Sanchez 2E in 39G at 3B (.971 Fld. Pct.)



POTOMAC NATIONALS 20-18, 1st place C.L. North, .001 W% ahead (58-49 overall)

Good Pedro Severino .304/.368/.468 since All-Star Break (26G)
Bad Dakota Bacus 6.33 ERA, 1.66 WHIP in July (5GS)
Interesting 752 batting K second-fewest in the Carolina League



HAGERSTOWN SUNS 26-14, 1st place Sally North, 1 game ahead (70-40 overall)

Good Lucas Giolito (duh) 5-2, 1.95/2.90/0.87, 10.3K/9IP in last 10 GS
Bad Narciso Mesa 6BB drawn in 46G
Interesting Zero CG through 110G (tied with Asheville; Savannah has 8)



AUBURN DOUBLEDAYS 21-25, 4th place Pinckney Division, New York-Penn League, 10½ games behind

Good Raudy Read .319/.350/.532, 4HR, 16RBI in July (25G)
Bad Connor Bach 4.96 ERA, 1.90 WHIP, 18BB in 7 appearances (16⅓ IP)
Interesting 3.87 R/G = 13th in 14-team NYPL



GCL NATIONALS 20-16, 2nd place GCL East, 4½ games behind

Good John Feliz 3-1, 1SV, 1.23/2.04/0.82 in 14⅔ IP
Bad Ryan Ripken .453 OPS in 51AB
Interesting 2012 Avg. Batter Age = 20.9
2013 Avg. Batter Age = 19.7 (2014 Lg. Avg)
2014 Avg. Batter Age = 19.2



DSL NATIONALS 29-23, 4th place Boca Chica South, 8 games behind

Good 17-y.o. Telmito Agustin .877 OPS, 22SB, 5CS
Bad 19-y.o. Michael Archibald 1-0, 7.43 ERA, 2.10 WHIP in 13⅓ IP
Interesting 20-y.o. Angher Cespedes 4-0, 7SV, 3.49 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 38K in 28⅓ IP