Jul 112014
 

Our weekly look at the leaders, trailers, and outliers in the Washington Nationals minor leagues.

SYRACUSE CHIEFS 56-37, 1st place I.L. North, 4½ games behind

Good Matt Grace 15⅔ scoreless innings in 9 appearances since promotion to AAA
Bad Will Rhymes 1-for-27 (.037) in last 10 games
Interesting 12 team pitching shutouts leads I.L.



HARRISBURG SENATORS 36-55, 5th place E.L. West, 17 games behind

Good Kevin Keyes .297/.381/.622, 4HR, 9RBI in July (10G)
Bad James Simmons 1-0, 6.58/4.76/1.29, 7HR in 39⅔ IP as a starter
Interesting Just two pitchers (Tyler Herron, Colin Bates) have been on the roster since Opening Day
(H/T Senators PR staff)



POTOMAC NATIONALS 9-9, 1st place C.L. North, ½ game ahead (47-40 overall)

Good Austin Voth (duh) 1-0, 0.47/2.72/0.53 in 3GS since promotion from Low-A
Bad Oscar Tejeda 10E in 46 games on defense
Interesting Pythagorean W-L 42-45, 19-9 record in one-run games


HAGERSTOWN SUNS 14-8, 2nd place Sally North, ½ game behind (58-34 overall)

Good Spencer Kieboom .419, 2HR, 8RBI in July (8G)
Bad Andrew Cooper 2-1, 1SV, 5.67 ERA, 1.63 WHIP in last 10 appearances
Interesting 11 holds = fewest in Sally League among teams with a +.500 record


AUBURN DOUBLEDAYS 12-15, 4th place Pinckney Division, New York-Penn League, 7 games behind

Good Reynaldo Lopez 2-2, 1.01/3.00/0.75 in 5GS
Bad Osvaldo Abreu 5E, .375 OPS in 22G
Interesting 21 pitching HBP in 27 games


GCL NATIONALS 8-9, 3rd place East Division, Gulf Coast League, 5 games behind

Good Thomas Alvarez .343/.500/.686, 11BB in 13G
Bad Jose Morales 0-3, 9.35/5.49/2.54 in four appearances (8⅔ IP)
Interesting “Fred” Aguero six doubles in 13 games


DSL NATIONALS 20-15, 4th place Boca Chica South, 4 games behind

Good 17-y.o. Telmin Augusto 20BB in 28G
Bad 19-y.o. Miguel Vargas 5.89 ERA, 1.91 WHIP in 10 appearances
Interesting 17-y.o. Nector Ramirez 15BB, 30K, 4HBP in 23IP
Jul 052013
 


Our weekly look at the leaders, trailers, and outliers in the Washington Nationals minor leagues.

SYRACUSE CHIEFS 36-51, 6th place I.L. North, 16½ games behind

Good Jeff Kobernus .375BA, Chris Marrero .333BA since return from MLB
Bad Jeff Mandel 0-4, 7.45ERA, 1.69 WHIP in last five starts
Interesting Mike Broadway four saves in last four appearances since June 26



HARRISBURG SENATORS 45-40, 1st place E.L. West, 1½ games ahead

Good Jason Martinson .333/.417/.429 in 7G since promotion
Bad Blake Treinen 110H in 97⅓IP
Interesting 50 team HBP, most in E.L.



POTOMAC NATIONALS 9-3, 1st place C.L. North, 2½ games ahead (51-30 overall)

Good Greg Holt 2-0, 2.57ERA in last 10 appearances (14IP)
Bad Adrian Sanchez .143/.216/.147 in last 10 games
Interesting 22 saves, T1st in Carolina League (19 blown saves)


HAGERSTOWN SUNS 10-5, 1st place Sally North, 1 game ahead (48-34 overall)

Good Gilberto Mendez 1-0, 0.68 ERA / 0.68 WHIP in first eight appearances
Bad Pedro Severino 8BB in 52 games (.275 OBP)
Interesting 11 shutouts, 2nd best in Sally League


AUBURN DOUBLEDAYS 6-10, 6th place Pinckney Division, New York-Penn League

Good Jean Valdez .326/.383/.535, 2HR, 8RBI in 16 games
Bad Joel Barrientos 12BB in 11⅔ IP
Interesting James Yezzo .333/.367/.421 in 14 games


GCL NATIONALS 9-3, 1st place East Division, Gulf Coast League

Good Philips Valdez 2-0, 1.13ERA, 0.75WHIP in 8IP
Bad Osvaldo Abreu .293 OPS in 10G
Interesting 1.18 WHIP 2nd best in GCL


DSL NATIONALS 15-12, 2nd place Boca Chica South, 3 games behind

Good 20-y.o. Yermin Mercedes .318/.423/.432 in 16 games
Bad 18-y.o. Yefri Pena 1-1, 5.52 ERA, 1.98 WHIP in 14⅔ IP
Interesting 17-y.o. Israel Mota .264/.406/.340 in 19 games
Oct 012012
 

For better or worse, this is where the Nationals have decided to cultivate its teenage talent. The trend of getting younger has leveled off as well. The average bat was 18.1 years old, just as it was in 2011; the average arm was 19.0 years old, a shade older than last year’s crew, which was 18.9 years old.
The team, however, finished third in its division with a mark of 38-32 (.543) — its best finish since 2008, when the DSL Nationals1 won the league.

As referenced in the comments, there’s only so much that we can glean from the DSL. It is, after all, just box scores and stats. We obsess over player ages while simultaneously doubting them in light of countless scandals that are a byproduct of that obsession (not to mention abject poverty, but let’s steer clear of socioeconomic discussion, like the NCAA does despite pretending otherwise).

One of the imperfect measures we do have is seeing how many of the DSL Nationals advance to the GCL. Four position players and seven pitchers advanced to the GCL from 2011 to 2012, similar figures to the 2010 to 2011, which were four and six respectively. As one might expect, the progression beyond that hasn’t been as good: just two of the non-Smiley 2010 DSL Nationals that have made it to Auburn or Hagerstown (Narciso Mesa, Wirkin Estevez). There’s hope for the last Bowden class (the 2009 DSL Nationals), which includes Estarlin Martinez, Wander Ramos, and Pedro Encarnacion.

Following the format from the past two years, let’s take a look at how the team did vs. the league averages…
HITTING (GPA = Gross Production Average)

PITCHING

Offensively, the DSL Nationals were the fifth-best in the DSL, with much it coming from speed — directly, in the way of stolen bases (3rd best); indirectly, in the way of doubles (2nd best). They were slightly above average in terms of walks, and slightly below in terms of strikeouts. The pitching, as you’ve probably guessed, was bad, 28th out of the 35-team DSL and the defense was league-average at .952, with the catchers throwing out 42% of the would-be thieves (vs. 38% for the league).

Using 100PA as the cutoff, here’s how the 2012 DSL Nationals broke down, with the primary player at each position listed under “G” and total games played “GP” (e.g. Raudy Read played 44 of 68 games played at catcher). Fielding percentage is for the primary position played for the starters while the bench and utility guys players have their numbers combined. Folks interested in seeing the full team and its stats can click here.

Space prohibits me from including this in the graphic, but I’ll point out that eight of the these 13 guys had OBPs that were at or above the league average. Leading the pack was speedster Rafael Bautista, who got on base at a .419 clip and led the league in stolen bases with 47. Raudy Read showed an unusual amount of power, hitting nine home runs and 16 doubles in his sophomore season. The 18-y.o. Read was one of three regulars to surpass .400 in slugging percentage, with 19-y.o. Jose “Orange” Marmolejos-Diaz leading the way at .490, Read second with a .441 mark, and 17-y.o. Randy Novas a show at .421.

This brings me to the most notable name not listed here: Thomas Alvarez, an 17-year-old American who grew up in New York, presumably born to Dominican parents, and returned to the D.R. to go pro. He was signed for $40K in June and played sparingly throughout the season, putting up a line of .222/.391/.444 in 18 games. Not much else can be found, so it remains to be seen whether this is someone we’ll hear from again or whether he’ll be the 2012 version of Dionicio Rosario.

On to the pitchers, listing the Top 12 in terms of innings pitched…
As aforementioned, the pitching was substandard this year, perhaps even worse when you stop to consider that so many 20-year-olds carried the load. Maximo Valerio, who turned 17 in late July, was the bright spot with slightly better than league-average numbers in his first season. It’s hard to envision more than a couple of these pitchers making it to the GCL next season, though as stated last year, most draft gurus will caution against getting too excited about summer-league players. And I’ll repeat: This is where I’ve made a lot of my mistakes in picking players to watch, which brings us to the…

OBLIGATORY TOP FIVE LISTS
For the second straight year, my #1 picks (Diomedes Eusebio, Gilberto Mendez) moved up to the GCL. Yay! And for the second straight year, I had one of my Top 5′s get released (Rosario). Boo!

I’m very confident this will happen again, particularly among the pitchers; hence, the honorable mentions to a pair of 17-year-olds with good peripherals in tiny sample sizes. Valerio and (ugh) J-Rod get the nods because of usage and age, the rest because they’re either lefthanded (Gomez), and/or throw strikes (Silvestre), or have the earmarks of an injury gamble (Ruiz).

Top 5 Batters
1. Raudy Read
2. Randy Novas
3. Osvaldo Abreu
4. Rafael Bautista
5. Jose Marmolejos-Diaz

Top 5 Pitchers
1. Maximo Valerio
2. Hector Silvestre
3. Jefry Rodriguez
4. Elisaul Gomez
5. Raul Ruiz

HONORABLE MENTIONS: Jorge Berrio, Jonathan Aquino

Aug 172012
 

Our weekly look at the leaders, trailers, and outliers in the Washington Nationals minor leagues.

SYRACUSE CHIEFS 62-65, 5th place I.L. North, 9 games behind

Good Zach Duke 1WP in 151⅔ IP (OK, 14 wins, I.L. pitcher of the week, yada yada yada)
Bad Mark Teahen .186/.259/.255 since All-Star break (28G)
Interesting Christian Garcia 20⅓ scoreless innings (3 of 5 IR-S)

HARRISBURG SENATORS 56-68, 5th place E.L. West, 17½ games behind

Good Ryan Tatusko 0-1, 0.84ERA in August (4 appearances, 10⅔ IP)
Bad Tim Pahuta .177/.235/.367 since All Star game
Interesting Jonny Tucker .162/.279/.162 in 14G

POTOMAC NATIONALS 23-30, 4th place C.L. North Division, 4½ games behind (54-69 overall)

Good Francisco Soriano .370/.458/.510 since C.L. All-Star break (35G)
Bad Rob Gilliam 0-1, 5.75ERA, 1.57WHIP in first four C.L. starts
Interesting Since Freitas trade: 23-y.o. Erick Fernandez, 4G; 29-y.o. Jeff Howell, 8G

HAGERSTOWN SUNS 29-23, 1st place Sally League North Divison, ½ game ahead (71-50 overall)

Good Greg Holt 1-0, 2.00 ERA in August (4 appearances)
Bad Angel Montilla .167/.167/.222 in August (10G)
Interesting Brian Rauh 1.13WHIP, 4.56ERA

AUBURN DOUBLEDAYS 32-24, 1st place Pinckney Division, N.Y.-Penn League, 3 games ahead

Good Blake Monar 2.68ERA, 1.35WHIP, 42K in 43⅔IP (9 GS)
Bad Carlos Lopez 9E, 39K in 34G
Interesting Shawn Pleffner .472SLG, 14 doubles in 36G

GCL NATIONALS 24-28, 3rd Place GCL East, 7½ games behind

Good Matt Foat .336/.413/.393 in 37G
Bad Andy Santana 1-4, 6.46ERA, 1.56WHIP
Interesting Gilberto Mendez 1.05WHIP, 9.5K/9IP

DSL NATIONALS 36-27, T2nd Place Boca Chica South Division, 7½ games behind

Good 20-y.o. Wander Suero 3.00 BB/9IP
Bad 17-y.o. Wester Suarez .523OPS
Interesting 18 y.o. Osvaldo Abreu 27BB, 22SB in 52G
Jul 202012
 


Our weekly look at the leaders, trailers, and outliers in the Washington Nationals minor leagues.

SYRACUSE CHIEFS 45-53, 6th place I.L. North, 9½ games behind

Good Corey Brown .292/.347/.466 in July
Bad John Lannan 0-3, 7.47ERA, 4HR in July
Interesting Both of Koyie Hill’s HRs have come against Pawtucket

HARRISBURG SENATORS 49-48, 2nd place E.L. West, 9½ games behind

Good Ryan Tatukso 2-1, 2.25ERA, 1.19WHIP in last 10 appearances (3 starts)
Bad Destin Hood .216/.268/.333 in July
Interesting Team 216BBs is 9th in 10-team E.L.

POTOMAC NATIONALS 13-14, T2nd place C.L. North Division, 1 game behind (44-53 overall)

Good Nathan Karns 5-2, 2.12ERA, 0HR in first 8 starts
Bad Michael Taylor 8BB in 26G since All-Star break (30BB in 65G prior)
Interesting 111SBs is 2nd in C.L.

HAGERSTOWN SUNS 15-11, 2nd place Sally League North Divison, ½ game behind (57-38 overall)

Good Greg Holt 1-1, 1.35ERA, 1.05WHIP in last 10 appearances (20IP)
Bad Bryce Ortega .275BA, .317SLG
Interesting Cutter Dykstra .328/.423/.475 in July

AUBURN DOUBLEDAYS 19-11, 1st place Pinckney Division, N.Y.-Penn League, 1½ games ahead

Good Nick Lee 0.98WHIP in 5 appearances (21⅓ IP)
Bad Carlos Lopez 7E in 14G
Interesting Blake Monar 23K in 23⅔ IP

GCL NATIONALS 11-17, 4th Place GCL East, 8 games behind

Good Matt Foat .340/.441/.440 in 15G
Bad Blake Schwartz 0-2, 5.06ERA, 1.56WHIP
Interesting Joel Barrientos 2.08ERA, 19K in 17⅓ IP

DSL NATIONALS 20-20, 6th Place Boca Chica South Division, 8½ games behind

Good Maximo Valerio 1.20ERA, 0.87WHIP in July (3 starts, turns 17 on Sunday)
Bad 18-y.o. Bryan Mejia .605OPS
Interesting 18-y.o. SS Osvaldo Abreu 13SB, 9E in 35G
Jun 152012
 

Our weekly look at the leaders, trailers, and outliers in the Washington Nationals minor leagues.

SYRACUSE CHIEFS 32-34, 5th place I.L. North, 9½ games behind

Good Erik Arnesen 1.66ERA as a reliever
Bad Jeff Howell .403 OPS
Interesting Jarrett Hoffpauir 17K in 48G

HARRISBURG SENATORS 34-31, 2nd place E.L. West, 8½ games behind

Good Jesus Valdez .327/.356/.496 in June
Bad Robert Gilliam 7.65ERA, 1.65 WHIP in last 4 starts
Interesting Jimmy Van Ostrand .316/.413/.553 in 14G

POTOMAC NATIONALS 30-37, 2nd place C.L. North Division, 6 games behind

Good Matt Grace 2-1, 3.03ERA, 1.13WHIP in last 5 starts
Bad Adrian Sanchez .184/.238/.237 in last 10G
Interesting Neil Holland 0.84 WHIP, .184 OBA

HAGERSTOWN SUNS 36-23, 2nd place Sally League North Divison, 3½ games behind

Good Alex Meyer 4-0, 1.33 ERA, 0.85 WHIP in last 5 starts
Bad Cole Leonida 8E in 34G
Interesting Cutter Dykstra 18/20 SBs

DSL NATIONALS 7-4, 2nd Place Boca Chica South Division, 2 games behind

Good 18 y.o. Osvaldo Abreu .333/.417/.452
Bad 18 y.o. Jorge Tillero .321 OPS
Interesting 18 y.o. Jefry Rodriguez 1.80ERA, .206 OBA in 2 starts