Aug 162013
 


Our weekly look at the leaders, trailers, and outliers in the Washington Nationals minor leagues.

SYRACUSE CHIEFS 59-68, 6th place I.L. North, 10 games behind

Good Tyler Moore .366/.449/.653, 6HR, 30RBI since All-Star Break (27G)
Bad Ryan Tatusko 5.78 BB/9IP (64 in 99⅔ IP)
Interesting Josh Johnson .328/.458/.478 in 28G



HARRISBURG SENATORS 66-58, 1st place E.L. West, 1 game ahead

Good Billy Burns .312/.429/.319, 5SB in 12G since promotion
Bad Rob Gilliam 0-4, 5.15 ERA, 1.34 WHIP since All-Star Break
Interesting Tyler Herron 0-1, 3SV, 1.50 ERA in last 10 appearances



POTOMAC NATIONALS 31-20, 1st place C.L. North, 8 games ahead (73-47 overall)

Good Colin Bates 2.10 ERA/3.02 FIP/1.01 WHIP in 30 appearances
Bad Mike Gilmartin, bases empty: .313/.425/.493
Gilmartin, RISP: .167/.258/.241
Interesting Greg Holt 4-0, 2.33 ERA, 1.26 WHIP since All-Star Break (15 appearances)



HAGERSTOWN SUNS 33-20, 2nd place Sally North, ½ game behind (71-49 overall)

Good Nick Lee 10.2K/9 (93K in 82IP)
Bad Wes Schill .160/.323/.160 in last 10G
Interesting 1st in runs scored, T12th in home runs (50, 18 by Brandon Miller)



AUBURN DOUBLEDAYS 18-36, 6th place Pinckney Division, New York-Penn League, 15 games behind

Good James Yezzo .294/.306/.412 in August
Bad Mike Mudron 1.75 WHIP, 6.38 ERA in 15 appearances
Interesting 38 of 69E committed by 3B or SS



GCL NATIONALS 41-7, East Division Champions, 20½ games ahead

Good Lucas Giolito 0.64 ERA, 0.86 WHIP in August (3GS, 14IP
Bad Luis Guzman 17-y.o. .219/.281/.257 in 32G
Interesting Need to finish 7-5 to set GCL record for best W% (1994 Royals, 47-12)



DSL NATIONALS 34-28, 4th place Boca Chica South, 10 games behind

Good 17-y.o. Israel Mota .361 OBP
Bad 18-y.o. Jonathan Aquino 1.58 WHIP in 19⅔ IP
Interesting Pitchers T2nd with 8 shutouts in DSL
Oct 012012
 

For better or worse, this is where the Nationals have decided to cultivate its teenage talent. The trend of getting younger has leveled off as well. The average bat was 18.1 years old, just as it was in 2011; the average arm was 19.0 years old, a shade older than last year’s crew, which was 18.9 years old.
The team, however, finished third in its division with a mark of 38-32 (.543) — its best finish since 2008, when the DSL Nationals1 won the league.

As referenced in the comments, there’s only so much that we can glean from the DSL. It is, after all, just box scores and stats. We obsess over player ages while simultaneously doubting them in light of countless scandals that are a byproduct of that obsession (not to mention abject poverty, but let’s steer clear of socioeconomic discussion, like the NCAA does despite pretending otherwise).

One of the imperfect measures we do have is seeing how many of the DSL Nationals advance to the GCL. Four position players and seven pitchers advanced to the GCL from 2011 to 2012, similar figures to the 2010 to 2011, which were four and six respectively. As one might expect, the progression beyond that hasn’t been as good: just two of the non-Smiley 2010 DSL Nationals that have made it to Auburn or Hagerstown (Narciso Mesa, Wirkin Estevez). There’s hope for the last Bowden class (the 2009 DSL Nationals), which includes Estarlin Martinez, Wander Ramos, and Pedro Encarnacion.

Following the format from the past two years, let’s take a look at how the team did vs. the league averages…
HITTING (GPA = Gross Production Average)

PITCHING

Offensively, the DSL Nationals were the fifth-best in the DSL, with much it coming from speed — directly, in the way of stolen bases (3rd best); indirectly, in the way of doubles (2nd best). They were slightly above average in terms of walks, and slightly below in terms of strikeouts. The pitching, as you’ve probably guessed, was bad, 28th out of the 35-team DSL and the defense was league-average at .952, with the catchers throwing out 42% of the would-be thieves (vs. 38% for the league).

Using 100PA as the cutoff, here’s how the 2012 DSL Nationals broke down, with the primary player at each position listed under “G” and total games played “GP” (e.g. Raudy Read played 44 of 68 games played at catcher). Fielding percentage is for the primary position played for the starters while the bench and utility guys players have their numbers combined. Folks interested in seeing the full team and its stats can click here.

Space prohibits me from including this in the graphic, but I’ll point out that eight of the these 13 guys had OBPs that were at or above the league average. Leading the pack was speedster Rafael Bautista, who got on base at a .419 clip and led the league in stolen bases with 47. Raudy Read showed an unusual amount of power, hitting nine home runs and 16 doubles in his sophomore season. The 18-y.o. Read was one of three regulars to surpass .400 in slugging percentage, with 19-y.o. Jose “Orange” Marmolejos-Diaz leading the way at .490, Read second with a .441 mark, and 17-y.o. Randy Novas a show at .421.

This brings me to the most notable name not listed here: Thomas Alvarez, an 17-year-old American who grew up in New York, presumably born to Dominican parents, and returned to the D.R. to go pro. He was signed for $40K in June and played sparingly throughout the season, putting up a line of .222/.391/.444 in 18 games. Not much else can be found, so it remains to be seen whether this is someone we’ll hear from again or whether he’ll be the 2012 version of Dionicio Rosario.

On to the pitchers, listing the Top 12 in terms of innings pitched…
As aforementioned, the pitching was substandard this year, perhaps even worse when you stop to consider that so many 20-year-olds carried the load. Maximo Valerio, who turned 17 in late July, was the bright spot with slightly better than league-average numbers in his first season. It’s hard to envision more than a couple of these pitchers making it to the GCL next season, though as stated last year, most draft gurus will caution against getting too excited about summer-league players. And I’ll repeat: This is where I’ve made a lot of my mistakes in picking players to watch, which brings us to the…

OBLIGATORY TOP FIVE LISTS
For the second straight year, my #1 picks (Diomedes Eusebio, Gilberto Mendez) moved up to the GCL. Yay! And for the second straight year, I had one of my Top 5’s get released (Rosario). Boo!

I’m very confident this will happen again, particularly among the pitchers; hence, the honorable mentions to a pair of 17-year-olds with good peripherals in tiny sample sizes. Valerio and (ugh) J-Rod get the nods because of usage and age, the rest because they’re either lefthanded (Gomez), and/or throw strikes (Silvestre), or have the earmarks of an injury gamble (Ruiz).

Top 5 Batters
1. Raudy Read
2. Randy Novas
3. Osvaldo Abreu
4. Rafael Bautista
5. Jose Marmolejos-Diaz

Top 5 Pitchers
1. Maximo Valerio
2. Hector Silvestre
3. Jefry Rodriguez
4. Elisaul Gomez
5. Raul Ruiz

HONORABLE MENTIONS: Jorge Berrio, Jonathan Aquino

Aug 032012
 

Our weekly look at the leaders, trailers, and outliers in the Washington Nationals minor leagues.

SYRACUSE CHIEFS 54-58, T5th place I.L. North, 7½ games behind

Good Eury Perez .408/.453/.490 in 13G since callup (hit safely in every game)
Bad Austin Bibens-Dirkx 6.27ERA, 1.61WHIP in last 10 appearances
Interesting Yunesky Maya 3-1, 3.00ERA since I.L. All-Star Break (4 starts)

HARRISBURG SENATORS 53-59, 5th place E.L. West, 13½ games behind

Good Trevor Holder 2-1, 2.84 ERA in last three appearances
Bad 11-for-65 (.169) with RISP on last road trip (eight games)
Interesting Chien-Ming Wang in 2011/12 — 15GS in MLB, 16GS in Minors
(H/T Geoff Morrow of Patriot-News)

POTOMAC NATIONALS 20-20, 1st place C.L. North Division, ½ game ahead (51-59 overall)

Good Alex Meyer 1-0, 0.53ERA, 0.94WHIP, 15K in first 3 starts (17IP)
Bad 849 team batting K’s — 1st in eight-team C.L.
Interesting Erick Fernandez .393/.514/.429 in last 10 games

HAGERSTOWN SUNS 23-18, T1st place Sally League North Divison, 1 game ahead (65-45 overall)

Good Richie Mirowski 3-0, 1.76ERA in first 8 appearances
Bad Carlos Alvarez .417OPS in 13 games since callup
Interesting 167 teams SBs lead Sally League

AUBURN DOUBLEDAYS 27-16, 1st place Pinckney Division, N.Y.-Penn League, 3 games ahead

Good Brett Mooneyham 1-0, 1.37 ERA, 1.02WHIP in first five appearances (4GS)
Bad Jordan Poole 44K in 100AB over 28G
Interesting Estarlin Martinez .913OPS, 15G hit streak

GCL NATIONALS 16-24, 4th Place GCL East, 11 games behind

Good Austin Chubb .262/.319/.500 in 16G
Bad Adalberto Mieses 1.75WHIP in 24IP
Interesting Will Hudgins 2.93ERA, 1.08WHIP in 27⅔IP

DSL NATIONALS 28-24, 4th Place Boca Chica South Division, 8½ games behind

Good 17-y.o. Jonathan Aquino 1.06WHIP in 10⅓ IP
Bad 17-y.o. Wester Suarez .529OPS in 16G
Interesting 19-y.o. Rafael Bautista 34SB, 4CS (89.5% success rate)
Jun 292012
 


Our weekly look at the leaders, trailers, and outliers in the Washington Nationals minor leagues.

SYRACUSE CHIEFS 42-38, 4th place I.L. North, 3½ games behind

Good Zach Duke 8-2, 3.12ERA since May 1
Bad Koyie Hill .100/.171/.200 in 8G since signing as FA
Interesting Since April 22, Chiefs have gone 40-25 after starting 2-13

HARRISBURG SENATORS 40-38, 2nd place E.L. West, 7½ games behind

Good Zach Walters .317/.364/.610 since callup (10G)
Bad Walters, 5E in 10G at AA, 23 overall in 54G
Interesting Paul Demny, back-to-back outings of 7IP, 1R after 3IP, 11R on 6/16

POTOMAC NATIONALS 4-4, T1st place C.L. North Division, 1 game ahead (35-43, overall)

Good Trevor Holder 3-2, 3.18ERA, 1.19WHIP, 5QS in 8G as starter
Bad Matt Grace 20R, 21H, 2HR, 4BB, 3K in last two appearances
Interesting Rick Hague .316/.386/.579 in last 10G

HAGERSTOWN SUNS 6-2, T1st place Sally League North Divison, 1½ games ahead (48-29 overall)

Good Alex Meyer 3-1, 2.51ERA, 0.88WHIP in June
Bad Hendry Jimenez .167/.219/.433 in June
Interesting Cutter Dykstra .333/.378/.500 in last 10G (Happy 23rd Birthday)

AUBURN DOUBLEDAYS SUNS 8-3, 1st place Pinckney Division, N.Y.-Penn League, 1 game ahead

Good Wander Ramos .391/.481/.609 in 9G
Bad Bryan Harper 10.38ERA, 2.77WHIP in 3G
Interesting Cody Davis 11K in 4⅔ IP

GCL NATIONALS 4-6, 4th Place GCL East, 2½ games behind

Good Ivan Pineyro 12K in 7⅔ IP
Bad Narciso Mesa 10K, .222BA in 9G
Interesting Mike McQuillan .435/.581/.435, 5E in 10G

DSL NATIONALS 14-8, T2nd Place Boca Chica South Division, 2½ games behind

Good 19 y.o. “Orange” Marmolejos-Diaz .329/.404/.633 in 22G
Bad 18 y.o. Bryan Mejia .592OPS, 6E in 15G
Interesting 17 y.o. Jonathan Aquino 1.06 WHIP in 5G